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Topic · Politics
5,797 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
9.6% of Polymarket
Events · markets
659 · 5,797
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
4 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 4
in 23 days
Biggest first · chance of Yes
| Market | Event | Chance | This week | Ends | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | Which party will win the House in 2026? | 90.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $3.99M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:44 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Republican Party |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? |
| 9.5¢ |
| up 2 points this week |
| Nov 4 |
| $3.15M |
| Republicans Sweep | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 8.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $3.13M |
| Democrats Sweep | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 61.5¢ | down 5 points this week | Nov 4 | $2.31M |
| D Senate, R House | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 0.9¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.61M |
| R Senate, D House | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 28.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.52M |
| Democratic Party | Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | 63.5¢ | down 4 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.31M |
| Other | Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $1.18M |
| Ken Paxton (R) | Texas Senate Election Winner | 37.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $1.07M |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | 26.5¢ | down 5 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.01M |
| Republican Party | Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | 36.5¢ | up 3 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.94M |
| James Talarico (D) | Texas Senate Election Winner | 62.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.93M |
| Troy Jackson (D) | Maine Senate Election Winner | 58.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.46M |
| Sherrod Brown (D) | Ohio Senate Election Winner | 61.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.40M |
| Abdul El-Sayed (D) | Michigan Senate Election Winner | 69.5¢ | down 3.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.38M |
| Susan Collins (R) | Maine Senate Election Winner | 41.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.36M |
| Annie Andrews (D) | South Carolina Senate Election Winner | 15.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.33M |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | 98.7¢ | up 0.7 points this week | Jan 1 | $0.33M |
| Mary Peltola | Alaska Senate Election Winner | 72.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.33M |
| Jon Husted (R) | Ohio Senate Election Winner | 38.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.27M |
| Mike Rogers (R) | Michigan Senate Election Winner | 31.0¢ | up 4 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.26M |
| Darline Graham Nordone (R) | South Carolina Senate Election Winner | 84.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.24M |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | 6.5¢ | down 0.5 points this week | Jan 4 | $0.23M |
| Sen. Dan Sullivan | Alaska Senate Election Winner | 28.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.16M |
| Tom Steyer | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.16M |
| David Crowley (D) | Wisconsin Governor Election Winner | 80.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $0.13M |
| Tom Tiffany (R) | Wisconsin Governor Election Winner | 18.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0.12M |
| Greg Abbott (R) | Texas Governor Election Winner | 79.7¢ | up 6.2 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.11M |
| Steve Hilton | California Governor Election Winner | 3.5¢ | down 0.6 points this week | Nov 4 | $0.11M |
| Gina Hinojosa (D) | Texas Governor Election Winner | 21.0¢ | down 6 points this week | Nov 4 | $84.5K |
| Aaron Ford (D) | Nevada Governor Election Winner | 53.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $77.0K |
| Chris Pappas (D) | New Hampshire Senate Election Winner | 88.5¢ | up 1.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $74.4K |
| Mike Collins (R) | Georgia Senate Election Winner | 3.6¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $74.3K |
| John E. Sununu (R) | New Hampshire Senate Election Winner | 11.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $74.1K |
| Xavier Becerra | California Governor Election Winner | 96.0¢ | up 0.3 points this week | Nov 4 | $71.0K |
| Alex Padilla | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $65.8K |
| Chad Bianco | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $64.2K |
| Joe Lombardo (R) | Nevada Governor Election Winner | 46.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $63.6K |
| Kyle Langford | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $60.3K |
| 54 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 1.9¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Nov 3 | $59.4K |
| Rick Caruso | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $59.3K |
| Hormuz Agreement; R Senate | Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 4.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $59.2K |
| Nicole Shanahan | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $58.6K |
| Katie Porter | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $58.4K |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | 1.1¢ | down 1.1 points this week | Nov 4 | $58.4K |
| Betty Yee | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $57.6K |
| Bruce Blakeman (R) | New York Governor Election Winner | 4.3¢ | up 0.8 points this week | Nov 4 | $57.3K |
| Jon Ossoff (D) | Georgia Senate Election Winner | 96.3¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Nov 4 | $55.8K |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (R) | Ohio Governor Election Winner | 32.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $54.7K |
| Antonio Villaraigosa | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $53.4K |
| Amy Acton (D) | Ohio Governor Election Winner | 67.5¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $53.2K |
| Stephen Cloobeck | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $51.9K |
| Kamala Harris | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $51.7K |
| Toni Atkins | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $51.4K |
| Michael Younger | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $51.0K |
| Eric Swalwell | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $49.4K |
| Houston Brignano (R) | CA-36 House Election Winner | 2.5¢ | down 0.3 points this week | Nov 4 | $48.7K |
| No Hormuz Agreement | Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 88.8¢ | – | Nov 4 | $47.9K |
| Byron Donalds (R) | Florida Governor Election Winner | 78.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $47.7K |
| Eleni Kounalakis | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $47.2K |
| Tony Thurmond | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $47.0K |
| Daniel Mercuri | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $46.1K |
| Jim Risch (R) | Idaho Senate Election Winner | 95.2¢ | up 0.4 points this week | Nov 4 | $45.8K |
| 52 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 6.3¢ | up 1.9 points this week | Nov 3 | $45.8K |
| Matt Mahan | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $45.2K |
| Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 30.5¢ | – | Nov 5 | $44.0K |
| Butch Ware | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $43.3K |
| Elaine Culotti | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $41.6K |
| Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | Mississippi Senate Election Winner | 93.5¢ | up 3 points this week | Nov 4 | $41.4K |
| Scott Colom (D) | Mississippi Senate Election Winner | 6.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $39.4K |
| Michael Minogue (R) | Massachusetts Governor Election Winner | 4.2¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $37.1K |
| Leo Zacky | California Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $36.1K |
| 55 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 1.4¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Nov 3 | $33.8K |
| Hormuz Agreement; D Senate | Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? | 6.7¢ | – | Nov 4 | $33.2K |
| Phil Scott (R) | Vermont Governor Election Winner | 74.5¢ | down 3 points this week | Nov 4 | $32.6K |
| Amanda Janoo (D) | Vermont Governor Election Winner | 25.1¢ | up 1.9 points this week | Nov 4 | $31.7K |
| Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) | Georgia Governor Election Winner | 47.5¢ | up 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $29.9K |
| Kathy Hochul (D) | New York Governor Election Winner | 95.9¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Nov 4 | $27.8K |
| Republican Party | NJ-08 House Election Winner | 3.1¢ | down 0.9 points this week | Nov 4 | $25.9K |
| Amish Shah (D) | AZ-01 House Election Winner | 77.0¢ | down 3.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $24.5K |
| John James (R) | Michigan Governor Election Winner | 6.3¢ | up 0.9 points this week | Nov 4 | $23.4K |
| Zach Lahn (R) | Iowa Governor Election Winner | 12.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $22.9K |
| Maura Healey (D) | Massachusetts Governor Election Winner | 95.8¢ | down 0.4 points this week | Nov 4 | $22.5K |
| Rob Sand (D) | Iowa Governor Election Winner | 86.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Nov 4 | $22.5K |
| Tom Perriello (D) | VA-05 House Election Winner | 26.5¢ | up 5 points this week | Nov 4 | $22.3K |
| Rick Jackson (R) | Georgia Governor Election Winner | 53.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $21.9K |
| Kurt Alme (R) | Montana Senate Election Winner | 91.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $21.9K |
| John McGuire (R) | VA-05 House Election Winner | 73.5¢ | down 4.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $21.5K |
| ≤47 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 38.5¢ | – | Nov 3 | $20.9K |
| 51 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 9.0¢ | – | Nov 3 | $17.6K |
| 56 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 0.7¢ | down 0.4 points this week | Nov 3 | $16.0K |
| ↑ 15% | Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? | 4.8¢ | up 1.5 points this week | Nov 1 | $15.6K |
| Ann Diener | Alaska Senate Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $15.6K |
| Utah | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 91.0¢ | – | Nov 4 | $13.7K |
| Jay Feely (R) | AZ-01 House Election Winner | 22.5¢ | up 2.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $13.3K |
| Todd Achilles (I) | Idaho Senate Election Winner | 3.7¢ | down 1.1 points this week | Nov 4 | $13.3K |
| ↑ 12% | Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? | 23.0¢ | up 12.5 points this week | Nov 1 | $12.9K |
| ↑ 20% | Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? | 1.3¢ | down 0.7 points this week | Nov 1 | $11.9K |
| Jocelyn Benson (D) | Michigan Governor Election Winner | 93.8¢ | down 0.3 points this week | Nov 4 | $11.9K |
| Alani Bankhead (D) | Montana Senate Election Winner | 0.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $11.4K |
| 57+ | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 0.6¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Nov 3 | $11.4K |
| 53 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 5.1¢ | up 1.4 points this week | Nov 3 | $10.8K |
| Richard Grayson | Alaska Senate Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $10.5K |
| Dustin Darden | Alaska Senate Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $10.2K |
| 50 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 12.0¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 3 | $10.2K |
| Bernadette Wilson | Alaska Governor Election Winner | 19.5¢ | up 1 point this week | Nov 4 | $9.6K |
| Democrat | Idaho Senate Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $9.1K |
| ↓ 7% | Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? | 49.9¢ | down 27.3 points this week | Nov 1 | $8.7K |
| ↓ 5% | Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? | 10.5¢ | down 12 points this week | Nov 1 | $7.6K |
| Independent | Montana Senate Election Winner | 6.1¢ | down 2.1 points this week | Nov 4 | $6.6K |
| Rob Menendez (D) | NJ-08 House Election Winner | 95.0¢ | – | Nov 4 | $6.5K |
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | Alaska Governor Election Winner | 78.5¢ | up 3.3 points this week | Nov 4 | $5.7K |
| Indiana | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 4.5¢ | – | Nov 4 | $5.0K |
| 48 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 16.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 3 | $4.9K |
| 49 | Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | 12.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Nov 3 | $4.2K |
| South Carolina | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $4.1K |
| Ted Lieu (D) | CA-36 House Election Winner | 97.5¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $3.9K |
| Wisconsin | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 4.4¢ | up 1.3 points this week | Nov 4 | $3.3K |
| Texas | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 96.0¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Nov 3 | $3.0K |
| Louisiana | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 90.5¢ | down 4 points this week | Nov 4 | $3.0K |
| New York | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 2.6¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Nov 4 | $2.9K |
| Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 18.5¢ | – | Nov 5 | $2.9K |
| Alabama | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 63.0¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $2.8K |
| California | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 97.4¢ | – | Nov 4 | $2.5K |
| Minnesota | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 2.9¢ | down 1.2 points this week | Nov 4 | $2.4K |
| Maryland | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 2.6¢ | no change this week | Nov 4 | $2.3K |
| North Carolina | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 93.8¢ | up 0.7 points this week | Nov 3 | $2.1K |
| Missouri | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 1.8¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Nov 4 | $2.1K |
| Illinois | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 3.1¢ | down 0.6 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.7K |
| Virginia | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 4.3¢ | up 0.5 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.6K |
| Washington | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 5.5¢ | up 1.3 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.6K |
| Georgia | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 3.3¢ | – | Nov 4 | $1.3K |
| Kansas | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 2.7¢ | down 0.8 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.3K |
| Ohio | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 95.7¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.2K |
| Nebraska | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 3.5¢ | down 1.3 points this week | Nov 4 | $1.1K |
| Florida | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 98.6¢ | – | Nov 4 | $1.0K |
| David Leslie | Alaska Senate Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $1.0K |
| Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 14.0¢ | – | Nov 5 | $963 |
| New Jersey | Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? | 3.5¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Nov 4 | $881 |
| Lula, Netanyahu, Dems | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 7.4¢ | – | Nov 5 | $718 |
| Lula, Eizenkot, Dems | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 5.5¢ | – | Nov 5 | $366 |
| Lula, Netanyahu, Reps | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 3.4¢ | – | Nov 5 | $317 |
| Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 17.5¢ | – | Nov 5 | $313 |
| Lula, Eizenkot, Reps | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 0.5¢ | – | Nov 5 | $295 |
| Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 7.8¢ | – | Nov 5 | $241 |
| Lula, Bennett, Dems | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 3.3¢ | – | Nov 5 | $232 |
| Lula, Bennett, Reps | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 1.6¢ | – | Nov 5 | $218 |
| Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems | Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo | 2.3¢ | – | Nov 5 | $198 |
| Independent | Michigan Governor Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $111 |
| Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. | Alaska Senate Election Winner | 0.1¢ | – | Nov 4 | $0 |
| A | AZ-01 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 4 | $0 |
| B | AZ-01 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 4 | $0 |
| C | AZ-01 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 4 | $0 |
| D | AZ-01 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 4 | $0 |
| E | AZ-01 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 4 | $0 |
| A | CA-36 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| B | CA-36 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| C | CA-36 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| D | CA-36 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| E | CA-36 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| A | NJ-08 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| B | NJ-08 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| C | NJ-08 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| D | NJ-08 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| E | NJ-08 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| A | VA-05 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| B | VA-05 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| C | VA-05 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| D | VA-05 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |
| E | VA-05 House Election Winner | – | no change this week | Nov 3 | $0 |