Market · 1 of 7 outcomes
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
These 7 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2026 midterms · 650 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
17 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 94,640 | 77.0¢ | $68.6K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| 0xf30f…fa3e | No | 155,691 | 24.0¢ | $42.8K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 50,000 |
| 72.0¢ |
| $36.2K |
| Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 296 bets |
| PolBandit0x15fd…cc95 | Yes | 22,873 | 75.7¢ | $16.6K | New86 settled bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 20,000 | 73.0¢ | $14.5K | New6 settled bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 41,490 | 22.4¢ | $11.4K | Proven+$7.88 per $100 · 526 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 6.23K shares each side · Show
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