Market · 4 of 7 outcomes
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | No | 50 | 99.6¢ | $50 | — |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 9,833 | 3.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 6,755 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,227 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 5,792 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | 5,568 | 3.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 626 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 7 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.