Market · 5 of 7 outcomes
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 101 | 99.2¢ | $101 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | No | 50 | 99.7¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 20,323 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 9,833 | 3.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 6,755 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,593 bets |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | 6,400 | 3.4¢ | $3 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 734 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 7 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.