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The big real-world questions that many markets depend on. Open one to see every market on it, where the money sits and which way proven traders lean.
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The big real-world questions that many markets depend on. Open one to see every market on it, where the money sits and which way proven traders lean.
Share of the in play
| # | Topic | Category | Share of all money | In play | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US 2028 presidential race | Politics | 19.7% | $63.9M | |
| 2 | US 2026 midterms | Politics | 10.4% | $33.7M | |
Live Polymarket data, read Oct 11, 2026, 13:25 UTC. Polyray is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Not financial advice.
| 3 |
| Iran conflict & Gulf shipping |
| Geopolitics |
| 9.7% |
| $31.6M |
| 4 | Bitcoin price | Crypto | 5.8% | $18.8M |
| 5 | Russia–Ukraine war | Geopolitics | 5.1% | $16.4M |
| 6 | China–Taiwan | Geopolitics | 4.1% | $13.4M |
| 7 | Soccer | Sports | 4.0% | $13M |
| 8 | US Fed rate path | Macro | 2.6% | $8.34M |
| 9 | NFL | Sports | 2.4% | $7.95M |
| 10 | US Government Confirms Aliens | Other | 2.4% | $7.76M |
| 11 | Ethereum price | Crypto | 2.4% | $7.74M |