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Topic · Other
2 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
2.4% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 2
that win or lose together
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 21 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? | December 31 | 3.0¢ | – | $7.76M |
Yes minus No · across the 2 main markets
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 14:36 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa2cd…2ba0 | No on December 31 | $1.41M | New24 bets |
| world-changer0xea42…6b0d | No on December 31 | $891.3K | New3 bets |
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | No on December 31 | $436.6K | New79 bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No on December 31 | $308.6K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| 0xb9eb…ab05 | No on December 31 | $230.8K | New31 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No on October 31 | $203.6K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 720 bets |
| onekey090x45b3…35bc | No on December 31 | $197.7K | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 880 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No on December 31 | $185.8K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| EricaXBT0x7383…bd0b | No on December 31 | $174.1K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 219 bets |
| TeamA0x9ba9…3ce9 | No on December 31 | $145.7K | New1 settled bet |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.