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Topic · Politics
1,866 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
10.2% of Polymarket
Events · markets
570 · 1,866
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
4 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 4
in 24 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep | 61.5¢ | down 5 points this week | $9.53M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 14:34 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Democratic Party |
| 90.5¢ |
| down 3 points this week |
| $7.14M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party | 63.5¢ | down 2 points this week | $2.27M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) | 64.5¢ | down 1 point this week | $1.95M |
| California Governor Election Winner | Xavier Becerra | 96.0¢ | up 0.4 points this week | $1.35M |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 73.5¢ | up 4 points this week | $1.01M |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) | 58.5¢ | down 1 point this week | $0.82M |
| Ohio Senate Election Winner | Sherrod Brown (D) | 61.5¢ | – | $0.67M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) | 68.5¢ | down 5 points this week | $0.64M |
| South Carolina Senate Election Winner | Darline Graham Nordone (R) | 84.5¢ | down 1 point this week | $0.57M |
Democrats have a 91% chance of taking the House and 64% for the Senate. These races decide the Senate.
Bar = each side's chance, Democratic in blue, Republican or independent in red. The label shows who's ahead. Click a race to open its market.
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| burrito3380x1489…1307 | Democrats take the House | $633.5K | Proven+$5.01 per $100 · 104 bets |
| 0xb9d8…275a | Democrats take the House | $446.3K | New21 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Democrats take the House | $346.0K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | Democrats take the House | $340.8K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| SlavaUkraini0xe899…0899 | Republicans do not sweep | $313.9K | Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 296 bets |
| 0x4488…e319 | Democrats take the House | $296.7K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 7,554 bets |
| TeamA0x9ba9…3ce9 | Democrats sweep | $243.3K | New1 settled bet |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | Republicans do not sweep | $230.2K | Proven+$3.38 per $100 · 136 bets |
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Split: Republican Senate, Democratic House | $225.3K | New74 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | No on Republican Senate, Democratic House | $221.1K | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,042 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.