Market · 1 of 23 outcomes
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
11 more outcomes in this event.
US 2026 midterms · 574 events · $31.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
17 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 35,904 | 51.3¢ | $34.5K | Proven+$7.93 per $100 · 516 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 34,708 | 92.4¢ | $33.3K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 32,200 | 93.6¢ | $30.9K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 31,477 | 94.6¢ | $30.2K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 770 bets |
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | Yes | 26,329 | 83.9¢ | $25.3K | New84 settled bets |
| strider-0x997d…5d15 | Yes | 22,286 | 85.8¢ | $21.4K | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 115 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2K shares each side · Show
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