Market · 3 of 23 outcomes
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
11 more outcomes in this event.
These 23 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2026 midterms · 625 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BuddhaYTorrance0x9e87…caa2 | No | 40,573 | 95.6¢ | $40.5K | New88 settled bets |
| danypotter0x9ac5…917b | No | 10,000 | 89.8¢ | $9.99K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Miracle0070x4728…6426 | No | 10,000 | 87.5¢ | $9.99K | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 383 bets |
| FDTpuissance0x17c6…8aca | No | 7,293 | 97.2¢ | $7.29K | New59 settled bets |
| 0x095d…52cf | No | 4,866 | 81.1¢ | $4.86K | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| Apus230xf539…6c6a | No | 4,000 | 87.2¢ | $4K | — |