Market · 2 of 23 outcomes
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 622 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
11 more outcomes in this event.
These 23 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 14 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 127,843 | 93.9¢ | $122K | Proven+$8.15 per $100 · 524 bets |
| chriszyy30x052f…53fb | No | 60,107 | 94.3¢ | $57.5K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 49,417 | 94.3¢ | $47.3K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| dromedaryy0x6575…b198 | No | 32,311 | 92.5¢ | $30.9K | New85 settled bets |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | No | 30,000 | 95.3¢ | $28.7K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 25,046 | 95.0¢ | $24K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |