Market · 4 of 23 outcomes
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 168 | 90.3¢ | $168 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 280,078 | 0.1¢ | $140 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| nnis0x88d8…8a50 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 17,000 | 0.1¢ | $9 | — |
| rxfdguku0xa296…d047 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 622 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
11 more outcomes in this event.
These 23 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.