Market · 7 of 23 outcomes
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 275,460 | 0.1¢ | $138 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 40 | 95.4¢ | $40 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| vvyu0xf4cb…a2e7 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,615 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 7 | 98.7¢ | $7 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 593 events · $31.8M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
11 more outcomes in this event.