Market · 7 of 23 outcomes
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 275,460 | 0.1¢ | $138 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 40 | 95.4¢ | $40 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| vvyu0xf4cb…a2e7 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,615 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 7 | 98.7¢ | $7 | — |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 12,524 | 0.3¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 0xc203…ea5a | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 5 | 90.7¢ | $5 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,822 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 7,521 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,168 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,228 bets |
| Stillwaterdas0x3c78…9dac | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 5,974 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,492 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.28 per $100 · 35,166+ bets · updating |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 4,420 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,813 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,742 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,587 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 3,477 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,347 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| shinyandrew0x60cc…f23f | Yes | 2,342 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| emapol10x336b…6d94 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| laji0140xcb0a…f5ac | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| DonaldEllison10110x1b64…bd0e | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| JamesNicholson83370x27f4…0430 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| RyanMunoz36260x2abd…74eb | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| BrendaBryant80050x6d2b…fd2c | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LindaPrice23680x71d2…e109 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 1,523 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,470 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 1,459 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,443 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 1,215 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$28.53 per $100 · 4,038 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 1,200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,185 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| lilianaisr20x6394…ebc9 | Yes | 1,034 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1194…8e19 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x745e…b1cc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe8ea…13bf | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 944 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 880 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 860 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 860 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 724 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,456 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 617 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 600 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 546 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 38,405+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 519 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 515 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| 0xdaf9…dba5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe5ab…8b8d | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 482 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 450 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 437 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| 0xed88…0dfd | Yes | 410 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2c78…adf3 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2f6d…9e53 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaced…7eb5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| strawberrypig0xff92…d07c | No | 0 | 93.2¢ | $0 | — |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 29,730+ bets · updating |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 0xe36a…671d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd786…d09e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| nullpointa0xc617…0d15 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| shohana301119950x0c99…6677 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Bruster710x105b…a49f | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 12Boloto0x1fc2…9894 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 2 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 642 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.