Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | Yes | 17,309 | 88.3¢ | $15.5K | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 1,955 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 10,000 | 88.9¢ | $8.95K | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 7,777 | 88.4¢ | $6.96K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,235 bets |
| MisTKy0x35bb…009b | No | 36,403 | 10.8¢ | $3.82K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 1,153 bets |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | Yes | 3,542 | 91.0¢ | $3.17K | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | Yes | 3,000 | 88.3¢ | $2.69K | Proven+$20.70 per $100 · 539 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 609 events · $32M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.