Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 90.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 90.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 90.1¢ | +0.6 pts |
| $500,000 | 91.4¢ | +1.9 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 89¢.
About $691K can be bought and $164K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so most bets get in close to it.
Measured from 89.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 19:57 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 610 events · $32M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.