Market · 6 of 23 outcomes
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 626 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
11 more outcomes in this event.
These 23 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| studmuffin69690xa8af…325e | No | 500 | 89.3¢ | $500 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 2,247 bets |
| babyshark.0x36ed…4a93 | No | 200 | 80.0¢ | $200 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 253 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $200 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 124 | 83.9¢ | $124 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| LeslieMedina41170x722f…f17f | No | 100 | 91.0¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 85 | 93.4¢ | $85 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.