Market · 6 of 23 outcomes
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 658 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| studmuffin69690xa8af…325e | No | 500 | 89.3¢ | $500 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 2,247 bets |
| babyshark.0x36ed…4a93 | No | 200 | 80.0¢ | $200 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 253 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $200 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 124 | 83.9¢ | $124 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| LeslieMedina41170x722f…f17f | No | 100 | 91.0¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 85 | 93.4¢ | $85 | — |
| 0x677d…7978 | No | 44 | 90.0¢ | $44 | — |
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 81,523 | 0.1¢ | $41 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| Alittlewin0xa53d…0cc1 | No | 39 | 97.8¢ | $39 | — |
| usdu.e0xa557…d95c | No | 37 | 80.6¢ | $37 | — |
| TaylorSchifff0xaa68…94a7 | No | 27 | 80.0¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 1,115 bets |
| dubaidude0xcdb8…f285 | No | 26 | 92.0¢ | $26 | — |
| 0xe6f4…875e | No | 22 | 96.7¢ | $22 | — |
| Protrad0x409f…543a | Yes | 37,500 | 0.1¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 367 bets |
| LowellSchimmel0x9869…f76b | No | 18 | 94.1¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 15 | 93.0¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | No | 15 | 93.5¢ | $15 | — |
| HTEUUIE0x7c5f…cbc9 | No | 14 | 95.9¢ | $14 | — |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 28,000 | 0.1¢ | $14 | — |
| LinaBell0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | 27,516 | 3.9¢ | $14 | Positive+$4.84 per $100 · 2,416 bets |
| 0x43e8…af56 | No | 10 | 96.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.40 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 20,007 | 7.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 528 bets |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | No | 10 | 86.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| quiz0xbc59…035e | No | 8 | 97.7¢ | $8 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 15,210 | 2.2¢ | $8 | Positive+$28.53 per $100 · 4,038 bets |
| 14547865120x3e14…d17e | No | 7 | 97.8¢ | $7 | — |
| PatriciaCunningham37240x9dc5…d5f6 | No | 7 | 91.0¢ | $7 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 7 | 93.0¢ | $7 | — |
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 11,465 | 6.1¢ | $6 | New74 settled bets |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 6 | 87.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Grav0x3c61…7fb8 | No | 5 | 97.7¢ | $5 | New40 settled bets |
| morilun0xff4e…5502 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$23.91 per $100 · 5,446 bets |
| 0x0b1f…06b8 | No | 5 | 79.0¢ | $5 | — |
| labubulalala0x23eb…c516 | No | 5 | 92.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 3,087 bets |
| 0x9aa0…8779 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 5 | 91.5¢ | $5 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 9,504 | 2.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 8,888 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$60.11 per $100 · 7,837 bets |
| Snoopyfan0x6291…cc47 | Yes | 8,547 | 6.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4bac…5e79 | No | 4 | 94.6¢ | $4 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 7,609 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,790 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 7,499 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7,291 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,957 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| jorgehowars0x0beb…2602 | No | 3 | 97.6¢ | $3 | New29 settled bets |
| kkcgt60x2ece…6640 | No | 3 | 95.2¢ | $3 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 6,628 | 0.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| skillboy0x8544…3abe | Yes | 6,569 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,659 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 35,318+ bets · updating |
| denuh0x0d01…5e59 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 2 | 87.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 4,462 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| 0x1c32…3be3 | No | 2 | 93.7¢ | $2 | — |
| firstman120x693e…0aa4 | No | 2 | 94.7¢ | $2 | — |
| jipeng0xad70…036b | No | 2 | 95.3¢ | $2 | — |
| strawberrypig0xff92…d07c | No | 2 | 91.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa4c6…9706 | No | 2 | 98.3¢ | $2 | — |
| PancraceRoyer0x29d3…b2ed | Yes | 4,000 | 8.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$11.54 per $100 · 638 bets |
| elockt0x01da…ea89 | Yes | 4,000 | 9.6¢ | $2 | New61 settled bets |
| Dishwt460x3884…7a3c | No | 2 | 97.7¢ | $2 | — |
| aunthg330x4174…e434 | No | 2 | 96.2¢ | $2 | — |
| glorybv150x969c…1f86 | No | 2 | 97.6¢ | $2 | — |
| arrest-today0xb16b…ed1c | No | 2 | 97.6¢ | $2 | — |
| erase820xf073…8a82 | No | 2 | 97.7¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,794 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,695 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,587 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| huyewell0x907d…20c4 | Yes | 3,333 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$22.49 per $100 · 3,918 bets |
| enewyonggui4750x6486…b183 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| tiger55110x3e6a…e86d | Yes | 3,100 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 1,074 bets |
| 0x5849…8a5d | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 2,888 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 1 | 89.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,476 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,337 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| benari0xda3d…fa66 | No | 1 | 86.3¢ | $1 | — |
| wantin2g8580xfc1a…600e | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | Yes | 2,205 | 13.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| dtjh0xae8e…2dfd | No | 1 | 96.1¢ | $1 | — |
| feizhou0x5684…4350 | No | 1 | 97.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ian1lin7610xccf9…f43d | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | Yes | 2,000 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| dreamingToBeAGuru0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| weird.physical.nothing0x0b15…986c | No | 1 | 96.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x10c5…d26e | Yes | 1,780 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,650 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| fanat120x33f8…c5e4 | Yes | 1,518 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$12.09 per $100 · 672 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 1,503 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4c63…185c | Yes | 1,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 1,492 | 4.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 1,115 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| KLMR0xbc81…a6a5 | Yes | 1,110 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| M8880x4344…f90d | Yes | 1,108 | 10.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| 0x1194…8e19 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.38 per $100 · 360 bets |
| ketib20x50bc…78c2 | Yes | 1,000 | 1.7¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.