Market · 3 of 23 outcomes
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
13 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BuddhaYTorrance0x9e87…caa2 | No | 40,573 | 95.6¢ | $40.5K | New88 settled bets |
| danypotter0x9ac5…917b | No | 10,000 | 89.8¢ | $9.99K | New52 settled bets |
| Miracle0070x4728…6426 | No | 10,000 | 87.5¢ | $9.99K | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 383 bets |
| FDTpuissance0x17c6…8aca | No | 7,293 | 97.2¢ | $7.29K | New59 settled bets |
| 0x095d…52cf | No | 4,866 | 81.1¢ | $4.86K | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| Apus230xf539…6c6a | No | 4,000 | 87.2¢ | $4K | — |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 3,344 | 36.5¢ | $3.34K | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| 123pocky0x06b6…eba6 | No | 1,206 | 81.5¢ | $1.21K | Losing−$2.87 per $100 · 228 bets |
| 0x515e…ec0d | No | 595 | 92.6¢ | $595 | New79 settled bets |
| tanzg0x8f5a…c586 | No | 570 | 41.5¢ | $569 | — |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 555 | 99.0¢ | $554 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 4,098 bets |
| 0xf0f8…fcf6 | No | 541 | 77.6¢ | $540 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 322 bets |
| tvampire0x16d4…c2c5 | No | 391 | 77.5¢ | $390 | New86 settled bets |
| nikandaoshenm0xf847…f0a2 | No | 380 | 54.1¢ | $380 | — |
| luyis0xde67…f2de | No | 380 | 38.4¢ | $380 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 211 | 39.1¢ | $211 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| b2two0x5b0c…e19f | No | 177 | 85.6¢ | $177 | New37 settled bets |
| Amy0060x53d3…93cd | No | 160 | 99.9¢ | $160 | New45 settled bets |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | No | 151 | 73.2¢ | $151 | — |
| 0x151a…0ece | No | 142 | 83.3¢ | $142 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 348 bets |
| sanyii0x4193…8653 | No | 116 | 85.6¢ | $116 | New41 settled bets |
| bishket0xc09c…682e | No | 100 | 85.0¢ | $100 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | No | 94 | 51.7¢ | $94 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| a5DYXQMGEE0x0be4…b548 | No | 94 | 89.1¢ | $94 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 346 bets |
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 82,912 | 9.7¢ | $83 | New74 settled bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 76,743 | 16.9¢ | $77 | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| 0x1508…5760 | No | 76 | 38.9¢ | $76 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 764 bets |
| linlincuia0x2de8…3ef1 | No | 70 | 62.4¢ | $70 | New2 settled bets |
| Lov33333U0x6aee…2567 | No | 60 | 69.4¢ | $60 | New50 settled bets |
| ps5dw0xbe36…7899 | No | 60 | 62.4¢ | $60 | — |
| emilywilliams0xb3da…7d0e | No | 50 | 89.0¢ | $50 | — |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | No | 50 | 89.9¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| 0x43e8…af56 | No | 49 | 92.0¢ | $49 | Losing−$4.40 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| ashot850x24ac…a42e | No | 35 | 66.9¢ | $35 | New10 settled bets |
| orenid0xb42a…e685 | No | 29 | 94.4¢ | $29 | — |
| Dsl0070070xef27…600f | No | 29 | 89.5¢ | $29 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 26,919 | 20.7¢ | $27 | New41 settled bets |
| rsabahor0xfb74…ae29 | No | 26 | 77.5¢ | $26 | — |
| jinjinlai0xbaee…a99f | No | 26 | 48.5¢ | $26 | — |
| jocpolitic0xdc03…804c | Yes | 23,854 | 13.5¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x9bf2…442b | No | 22 | 46.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Morfex0xc33a…045f | No | 21 | 47.3¢ | $21 | — |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 20,443 | 11.9¢ | $20 | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 528 bets |
| choohkz230x10fb…c66c | Yes | 20,062 | 0.5¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 1,027 bets |
| steverichie0xc838…1263 | No | 20 | 77.4¢ | $20 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 18,113 | 0.4¢ | $18 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| MyDadsMoney0x3d18…1160 | Yes | 16,332 | 35.6¢ | $16 | New62 settled bets |
| 0x3c4f…b2be | No | 16 | 51.2¢ | $16 | Losing−$9.20 per $100 · 398 bets |
| luminae0x9f3e…1edf | No | 15 | 81.6¢ | $15 | — |
| snols0x7664…2e50 | Yes | 14,371 | 43.3¢ | $14 | New78 settled bets |
| Jellow20x6640…2202 | Yes | 13,788 | 23.5¢ | $14 | Proven+$3.91 per $100 · 575 bets |
| weaving0x62cf…261e | Yes | 13,615 | 0.7¢ | $14 | New5 settled bets |
| 0x35df…cf97 | No | 12 | 69.3¢ | $12 | New88 settled bets |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 8,650 | 24.5¢ | $9 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| Arbguy0x53e5…6177 | No | 8 | 62.6¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 8,028 | 1.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| 0xfac0…fdd8 | No | 8 | 71.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Eleanor76610x5905…4b69 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 390 bets |
| KUYUT0x8ee6…1779 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 6,350 | 2.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,343 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 6,104 | 2.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$7.95 per $100 · 18,827 bets |
| splaym0xc4fd…fe19 | Yes | 5,275 | 45.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4537…654a | Yes | 5,017 | 0.4¢ | $5 | New1 settled bet |
| relik0x95da…f4e8 | Yes | 4,960 | 27.4¢ | $5 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 4,939 | 2.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,460 bets |
| 0x000d…d22c | Yes | 4,243 | 0.7¢ | $4 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 4,034 | 25.9¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | Yes | 3,930 | 13.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,867 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| 0xf1bf…11d7 | Yes | 3,737 | 43.9¢ | $4 | — |
| operationcastle0xd3a6…fd55 | Yes | 3,613 | 55.5¢ | $4 | Proven+$16.97 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| Protrad0x409f…543a | Yes | 3,612 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 367 bets |
| 13461970x4a95…8c70 | Yes | 3,435 | 1.6¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 570 bets |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | Yes | 3,418 | 18.6¢ | $3 | Proven+$13.35 per $100 · 374 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | Yes | 3,347 | 32.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | Yes | 3,011 | 15.5¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 715 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 2,987 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 2,946 | 10.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 0x74e2…ea6d | Yes | 2,897 | 69.9¢ | $3 | New56 settled bets |
| IWANTTOTRADE0x8141…0b4e | Yes | 2,839 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$11.82 per $100 · 305 bets |
| mimmic.mirror0xd6f6…1eac | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 2,493 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,061 bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | Yes | 2,432 | 17.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| 0xc01f…cd8e | Yes | 2,335 | 28.7¢ | $2 | — |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | Yes | 2,223 | 21.6¢ | $2 | Proven+$9.45 per $100 · 749 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 2,196 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,185 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,048 | 1.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| winner1230x0b97…0efe | Yes | 2,000 | 20.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 509 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 2,000 | 21.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,823 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| buyrightbake0x57cd…82ac | Yes | 1,822 | 34.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.56 per $100 · 653 bets |
| 0xf1e4…2edd | Yes | 1,780 | 5.4¢ | $2 | — |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | Yes | 1,500 | 5.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 1,418 | 14.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 1,296 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,502 bets |
| 0x6973…53ca | Yes | 105 | 44.8¢ | $0 | New55 settled bets |
| strawberrypig0xff92…d07c | Yes | 16 | 15.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.