Market · 1 of 23 outcomes
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 646 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
17 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 35,904 | 51.3¢ | $34.4K | Proven+$7.88 per $100 · 526 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 34,708 | 92.4¢ | $33.3K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 32,200 | 93.6¢ | $30.8K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 31,477 | 94.6¢ | $30.2K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | Yes | 26,329 | 83.9¢ | $25.2K | New84 settled bets |
| strider-0x997d…5d15 | Yes | 22,286 | 85.8¢ | $21.4K | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 115 bets |
| chriszyy30x052f…53fb | Yes | 22,222 | 93.2¢ | $21.3K | Break-even+$0.96 per $100 · 297 bets |
| 0x44vanz0x44a0…c3b9 | Yes | 20,661 | 88.0¢ | $19.8K | Losing−$2.05 per $100 · 560 bets |
| Kickstand70xd1ac…08d5 | Yes | 20,527 | 35.8¢ | $19.7K | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 1,923 bets |
| 456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0 | Yes | 19,522 | 94.5¢ | $18.7K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 1,517 bets |
| studmuffin69690xa8af…325e | Yes | 17,854 | 89.7¢ | $17.1K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 2,247 bets |
| Scalpoor0x8b36…a393 | Yes | 15,761 | 95.2¢ | $15.1K | New49 settled bets |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | Yes | 13,937 | 71.5¢ | $13.4K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| LinaBell0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | 13,496 | 74.9¢ | $12.9K | Positive+$4.84 per $100 · 2,416 bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | Yes | 12,224 | 94.2¢ | $11.7K | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| HerlihyM920x1970…398d | Yes | 11,717 | 92.5¢ | $11.2K | Proven+$8.37 per $100 · 538 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 11,506 | 94.5¢ | $11K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | Yes | 11,500 | 92.7¢ | $11K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| TheArchitect760x854d…deb0 | Yes | 11,000 | 81.0¢ | $10.5K | Losing−$1.50 per $100 · 375 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 10,212 | 93.3¢ | $9.78K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bc | Yes | 10,000 | 95.7¢ | $9.58K | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 237 bets |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito0x7523…4c4c | Yes | 10,000 | 94.0¢ | $9.58K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 2,013 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 7,681 | 95.6¢ | $7.36K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,357 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 7,239 | 70.0¢ | $6.93K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| 0x41b4…dad2 | No | 165,000 | 6.3¢ | $6.93K | New1 settled bet |
| deeznuts830xedf0…1e2a | Yes | 7,160 | 18.0¢ | $6.86K | Losing−$7.23 per $100 · 350 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 6,647 | 90.3¢ | $6.37K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| SIMO-HAYHA0xb32b…4a7a | Yes | 6,284 | 92.5¢ | $6.02K | New6 settled bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 5,888 | 73.5¢ | $5.64K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| skibabiba0x79d9…baec | Yes | 5,700 | 88.2¢ | $5.46K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 116 bets |
| Lolololol0xa745…8ca6 | Yes | 5,288 | 94.7¢ | $5.07K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 236 bets |
| 0x0009…1d43 | Yes | 4,750 | 82.3¢ | $4.55K | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 221 bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | Yes | 4,738 | 96.3¢ | $4.54K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | Yes | 4,000 | 95.2¢ | $3.83K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| FOW0x1bdd…31ac | Yes | 3,986 | 89.8¢ | $3.82K | Proven+$2.74 per $100 · 114 bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | Yes | 3,865 | 95.4¢ | $3.7K | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| AuspiciousArt0x30b7…e81c | Yes | 3,834 | 81.5¢ | $3.67K | New44 settled bets |
| 0x333e…369b | Yes | 3,784 | 93.7¢ | $3.63K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 163 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 3,734 | 92.2¢ | $3.58K | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| 0x4bd8…5c53 | Yes | 3,500 | 94.6¢ | $3.35K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 437 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 3,443 | 87.5¢ | $3.3K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,321 | 13.6¢ | $3.18K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 3,316 | 90.3¢ | $3.18K | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| M8880x4344…f90d | Yes | 3,280 | 93.8¢ | $3.14K | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| Bet1nthedark0x8b88…5f5e | Yes | 3,175 | 94.5¢ | $3.04K | Losing−$1.48 per $100 · 263 bets |
| 0xcb14…bd17 | Yes | 3,000 | 24.0¢ | $2.87K | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 916 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | Yes | 3,000 | 94.9¢ | $2.87K | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,736 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 2,985 | 94.3¢ | $2.86K | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 2,969 | 73.3¢ | $2.84K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| tNUb7u2zW8RRR32NqzjKv8Hws0x4992…00c8 | Yes | 2,866 | 34.9¢ | $2.75K | New16 settled bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 2,803 | 93.3¢ | $2.69K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | Yes | 919 | 12.3¢ | $880 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| Juggz690x57cd…b057 | No | 6,579 | 23.5¢ | $276 | New5 settled bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | No | 6,104 | 4.5¢ | $256 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,788 bets |
| 0x2578…b2a6 | No | 5,744 | 61.3¢ | $241 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 110 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 4,642 | 5.1¢ | $195 | Losing−$17.29 per $100 · 7,293 bets |
| theNTM0x25c0…dd22 | No | 3,550 | 17.5¢ | $149 | New20 settled bets |
| sedgvsf0xa1b6…d9c2 | No | 2,400 | 10.7¢ | $101 | New3 settled bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 2,000 | 4.5¢ | $84 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| simmobets0x2a98…ef19 | No | 2,000 | 5.0¢ | $84 | Losing−$55.41 per $100 · 218 bets |
| dthdts0xed97…9839 | No | 1,700 | 7.2¢ | $71 | New15 settled bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | No | 1,596 | 6.6¢ | $67 | New3 settled bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | No | 1,500 | 3.8¢ | $63 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 1,461 | 30.4¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 1,448 | 3.8¢ | $61 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | No | 1,310 | 5.3¢ | $55 | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| 0xba38…f74d | No | 1,210 | 4.3¢ | $51 | Positive+$9.17 per $100 · 908 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | No | 1,200 | 10.5¢ | $50 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| t000000000xd786…59b8 | No | 900 | 4.4¢ | $38 | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 5,156 bets |
| btobbes0x5654…dc18 | No | 763 | 65.6¢ | $32 | New16 settled bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 509 | 5.3¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Gxcho0x4839…775a | No | 500 | 4.6¢ | $21 | New37 settled bets |
| 0xc9f1…137c | No | 481 | 21.5¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 732 bets |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 438 | 4.6¢ | $18 | — |
| FaucetWiki0x8aac…0e7a | No | 415 | 4.1¢ | $17 | Losing−$4.58 per $100 · 3,494 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 401 | 4.5¢ | $17 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 290 | 9.3¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Terrence19920xc094…c8d4 | No | 222 | 4.1¢ | $9 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| Mitakaasa70x6312…f94e | No | 200 | 39.2¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 2,037 bets |
| goose-init0x61a9…38e0 | No | 179 | 5.8¢ | $7 | New1 settled bet |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | No | 155 | 43.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 151 | 5.6¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | No | 138 | 10.9¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| AxiomAwaken0x8bad…09df | No | 110 | 12.0¢ | $5 | New15 settled bets |
| ganenyouni0xda71…799d | No | 107 | 17.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.26 per $100 · 224 bets |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | No | 101 | 4.3¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 259 bets |
| Nomic00x6076…8131 | No | 100 | 49.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$21.18 per $100 · 197 bets |
| 0x841f…bbd0 | No | 100 | 40.3¢ | $4 | New98 settled bets |
| 0xad13…ab18 | No | 100 | 67.4¢ | $4 | New4 settled bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 99 | 19.4¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| 0x192c…b01c | No | 98 | 66.6¢ | $4 | New4 settled bets |
| simple5no0x964a…51dd | No | 95 | 42.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.83 per $100 · 187 bets |
| 0x1a8f…2cd1 | No | 91 | 5.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.66 per $100 · 635 bets |
| 0x5250…b975 | No | 87 | 4.6¢ | $4 | — |
| boom690x5753…fa31 | No | 86 | 22.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 733 bets |
| KatherineHicks38640x0b2f…c453 | No | 84 | 91.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 338 bets |
| 0x9332…5d34 | No | 81 | 7.9¢ | $3 | New13 settled bets |
| 0x8275…37bd | No | 80 | 67.5¢ | $3 | New4 settled bets |
| 0x7bc7…28fb | No | 80 | 6.1¢ | $3 | New94 settled bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.