Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 73,040 | 51.7¢ | $39.1K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 728 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 16,000 | 48.6¢ | $7.44K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 10,976 | 52.2¢ | $5.87K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 12,307 | 44.8¢ | $5.72K | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | No | 10,404 | 46.3¢ | $4.84K | New3 settled bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 6,500 | 44.3¢ | $3.02K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 574 events · $31.7M in play
These 2 outcomes add up to 99.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.