Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 581 events · $31.8M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 17,139 | 44.0¢ | $9.34K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 728 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 16,000 | 49.6¢ | $7.28K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 8,698 | 50.3¢ | $3.96K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| pantomime0xd039…2532 | No | 5,949 | 37.0¢ | $3.24K | Proven+$2.11 per $100 · 3,792 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 5,702 | 45.5¢ | $2.59K | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 5,521 | 58.5¢ | $2.51K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 50 shares each side · Show
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These 2 outcomes add up to 99.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.