Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 17,139 | 44.0¢ | $9.26K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 16,000 | 49.6¢ | $7.36K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 8,698 | 50.3¢ | $4K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| pantomime0xd039…2532 | No | 5,949 | 37.0¢ | $3.21K | Proven+$2.11 per $100 · 3,792 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 5,702 | 45.5¢ | $2.62K | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 5,521 | 58.5¢ | $2.54K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 4,397 | 50.3¢ | $2.02K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 2,571 | 50.6¢ | $1.18K | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 2,326 | 46.6¢ | $1.07K | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | Yes | 2,265 | 47.3¢ | $1.04K | New3 settled bets |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | No | 1,586 | 47.4¢ | $857 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 714 bets |
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | 1,688 | 46.4¢ | $776 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 3,603 bets |
| theginth0xbd62…6a7e | Yes | 1,500 | 44.3¢ | $690 | — |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 1,398 | 44.6¢ | $643 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0xa2dc…49f9 | Yes | 1,350 | 44.8¢ | $621 | New53 settled bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 1,260 | 42.3¢ | $580 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | No | 1,000 | 51.0¢ | $540 | Proven+$9.46 per $100 · 748 bets |
| Ignacio060xcdaf…eff6 | Yes | 1,160 | 47.0¢ | $534 | — |
| ThatOneLatino0x2161…a6bb | Yes | 1,051 | 53.3¢ | $483 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 769 | 57.0¢ | $415 | Losing−$7.15 per $100 · 15,882 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 896 | 49.5¢ | $412 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| Pbankster0x56cb…9550 | Yes | 771 | 65.8¢ | $355 | — |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | Yes | 750 | 50.0¢ | $345 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 713 | 48.7¢ | $328 | — |
| MispricedPaladin0xde88…144c | Yes | 697 | 58.9¢ | $321 | — |
| farik180x01ad…90f6 | No | 542 | 38.2¢ | $292 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 280 bets |
| Zachattack5000x4cf2…e31c | Yes | 630 | 43.0¢ | $290 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 391 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 626 | 49.7¢ | $288 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| DeezNuggies0x8333…eb93 | No | 460 | 51.2¢ | $248 | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 247 bets |
| FOW0x1bdd…31ac | Yes | 525 | 60.6¢ | $242 | Proven+$2.74 per $100 · 114 bets |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | No | 444 | 36.0¢ | $240 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 507 | 45.0¢ | $233 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | No | 425 | 36.8¢ | $230 | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| Kippekok0x55fc…132e | No | 387 | 52.0¢ | $209 | — |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | No | 270 | 57.0¢ | $146 | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 311 | 44.1¢ | $143 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,224 bets |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | No | 254 | 35.0¢ | $137 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | No | 250 | 55.4¢ | $135 | — |
| rocky420190x8f13…daae | No | 226 | 52.2¢ | $122 | — |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 260 | 56.0¢ | $120 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | No | 205 | 54.7¢ | $111 | Proven+$12.29 per $100 · 3,032 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 231 | 49.3¢ | $106 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Albedo000x160d…6f25 | Yes | 231 | 47.6¢ | $106 | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 3,947 bets |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | No | 192 | 49.0¢ | $104 | — |
| gohier0x82fd…db2e | Yes | 218 | 46.0¢ | $100 | — |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | No | 182 | 56.0¢ | $98 | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 1,690 bets |
| 15billionplus0x6406…bc04 | No | 166 | 54.0¢ | $90 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 166 | 54.8¢ | $89 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 187 | 48.6¢ | $86 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 159 | 52.6¢ | $86 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| haimshor0xb26a…c542 | Yes | 169 | 55.0¢ | $78 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 168 | 51.0¢ | $77 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 141 | 53.2¢ | $76 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 12,436 bets |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | Yes | 160 | 54.5¢ | $74 | — |
| asterley0xe762…064b | No | 128 | 56.7¢ | $69 | — |
| kimjongun1230x833a…dd63 | Yes | 149 | 45.1¢ | $69 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 105 | 54.0¢ | $57 | Losing−$4.43 per $100 · 82,257+ bets · updating |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 100 | 36.0¢ | $54 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | No | 100 | 50.0¢ | $54 | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 100 | 45.6¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| wes990x7e1a…bd9d | Yes | 104 | 49.0¢ | $48 | — |
| 0x86f0…610c | Yes | 102 | 50.0¢ | $47 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 101 | 62.0¢ | $46 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | Yes | 100 | 41.0¢ | $46 | — |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | Yes | 100 | 60.0¢ | $46 | Proven+$3.30 per $100 · 956 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 100 | 50.0¢ | $46 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| 0x08ef…e466 | Yes | 100 | 54.0¢ | $46 | — |
| StaticHarbour0x0a1c…d19f | Yes | 80 | 50.2¢ | $37 | — |
| maxwellrivera0x8558…01fc | No | 64 | 54.6¢ | $35 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 61 | 57.7¢ | $33 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,148 bets |
| TheImpasse0x2824…a954 | No | 58 | 42.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$25.55 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| theonechance0x30fe…74bc | No | 56 | 42.0¢ | $30 | — |
| ghostviolet0x3da6…9ac4 | Yes | 65 | 45.0¢ | $30 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 53 | 46.8¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 58 | 49.1¢ | $27 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| robszm0x04ba…bb60 | Yes | 58 | 43.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xf8e4…3b32 | Yes | 57 | 48.0¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 9,360 bets |
| kenpaxtonpatriot0x4abc…52ca | Yes | 56 | 45.2¢ | $26 | — |
| 0xe627…e145 | No | 47 | 49.9¢ | $25 | — |
| magestysunder0xbd71…cb8d | Yes | 55 | 45.8¢ | $25 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | No | 44 | 53.0¢ | $24 | — |
| 0xb3c7…3ce7 | No | 42 | 60.0¢ | $23 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | No | 40 | 48.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Anonnnn24090x9b22…3a92 | No | 29 | 57.3¢ | $16 | — |
| walkwithyourboy0xbc1f…8f78 | No | 21 | 47.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Cohven0x3dab…e5d0 | No | 18 | 47.0¢ | $10 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 16 | 52.5¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | No | 11 | 38.9¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 2,625 bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 55.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| BIGMONEYGAMBLER0x08aa…f1f0 | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $5 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 55.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | No | 10 | 57.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 10 | 50.3¢ | $5 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 52.0¢ | $5 | — |
| NoPasaran50x29a1…5645 | No | 10 | 56.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Caticatcaticat0x088a…29a6 | No | 5 | 52.5¢ | $3 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 50 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.