Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 73,040 | 51.7¢ | $39.1K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 16,000 | 48.6¢ | $7.44K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 10,976 | 52.2¢ | $5.87K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 12,307 | 44.8¢ | $5.72K | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | No | 10,404 | 46.3¢ | $4.84K | New3 settled bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 6,500 | 44.3¢ | $3.02K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | No | 5,546 | 45.0¢ | $2.58K | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | Yes | 4,014 | 51.4¢ | $2.15K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 714 bets |
| pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489 | Yes | 4,000 | 56.0¢ | $2.14K | Proven+$5.66 per $100 · 278 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 4,584 | 49.4¢ | $2.13K | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | Yes | 3,338 | 53.0¢ | $1.79K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 3,459 | 48.4¢ | $1.61K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 3,140 | 48.0¢ | $1.46K | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | Yes | 2,509 | 55.8¢ | $1.34K | Proven+$13.35 per $100 · 374 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 2,695 | 48.5¢ | $1.25K | Losing−$7.15 per $100 · 15,882 bets |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | 2,101 | 46.2¢ | $977 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| zetbetter0x6512…5291 | Yes | 1,488 | 55.0¢ | $796 | Proven+$4.12 per $100 · 680 bets |
| Risto0xa173…3315 | Yes | 1,325 | 54.0¢ | $709 | Positive+$2.12 per $100 · 484 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 880 | 47.0¢ | $409 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | Yes | 700 | 50.0¢ | $375 | Proven+$9.46 per $100 · 748 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 500 | 51.0¢ | $268 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 558 | 53.9¢ | $259 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| snols0x7664…2e50 | Yes | 479 | 50.0¢ | $256 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 540 | 44.5¢ | $251 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 500 | 48.5¢ | $233 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 411 | 51.3¢ | $220 | New66 settled bets |
| djl6050x942b…e25e | Yes | 350 | 50.5¢ | $187 | — |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | Yes | 335 | 55.2¢ | $179 | Proven+$12.29 per $100 · 3,032 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 376 | 47.8¢ | $175 | — |
| vaxastadnyk0x03f7…c0cc | Yes | 300 | 54.0¢ | $161 | — |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | No | 334 | 36.0¢ | $155 | Proven+$14.85 per $100 · 244 bets |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | No | 326 | 46.0¢ | $152 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 275 | 53.3¢ | $147 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| no-edge0x0159…1bac | No | 300 | 41.6¢ | $140 | — |
| frenchflair50x2ce9…5fc6 | Yes | 247 | 56.0¢ | $132 | New46 settled bets |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | Yes | 231 | 56.8¢ | $124 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | 255 | 47.1¢ | $119 | — |
| asterley0xe762…064b | Yes | 218 | 57.2¢ | $116 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 214 | 53.3¢ | $115 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 200 | 54.0¢ | $107 | — |
| pantomime0xd039…2532 | Yes | 196 | 37.9¢ | $105 | Proven+$2.11 per $100 · 3,792 bets |
| Flaquito0x426d…b976 | Yes | 185 | 55.0¢ | $99 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 200 | 44.2¢ | $93 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 194 | 43.0¢ | $90 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 161 | 53.9¢ | $86 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| RobotAlpha0x5ce3…f779 | No | 178 | 58.0¢ | $83 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 169 | 49.0¢ | $78 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| BigFishHunter0x75dc…698e | Yes | 137 | 55.3¢ | $74 | — |
| Cohven0x3dab…e5d0 | Yes | 133 | 46.0¢ | $71 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 125 | 56.3¢ | $67 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| RibeyeStack0xdb8d…aa15 | Yes | 111 | 53.2¢ | $60 | — |
| TheImpasse0x2824…a954 | No | 121 | 46.5¢ | $56 | Losing−$25.55 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 120 | 45.8¢ | $56 | — |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | Yes | 100 | 44.0¢ | $54 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 259 bets |
| twinna0xa43d…00f4 | Yes | 100 | 42.0¢ | $54 | Proven+$12.80 per $100 · 245 bets |
| 0xe627…e145 | Yes | 100 | 49.0¢ | $54 | — |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | No | 100 | 50.0¢ | $47 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| 0x08ef…e466 | No | 100 | 54.0¢ | $47 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | No | 100 | 47.0¢ | $47 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 100 | 50.0¢ | $47 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 90 | 47.0¢ | $42 | — |
| StaticHarbour0x0a1c…d19f | No | 83 | 50.3¢ | $39 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 72 | 46.9¢ | $38 | Positive+$6.46 per $100 · 7,356 bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | No | 77 | 53.3¢ | $36 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| 0x5317…9a3b | No | 71 | 48.0¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 9,275 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 60 | 56.0¢ | $32 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Anonnnn24090x9b22…3a92 | Yes | 55 | 57.6¢ | $30 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 60 | 50.0¢ | $28 | — |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 50 | 56.0¢ | $27 | — |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | Yes | 47 | 53.4¢ | $25 | — |
| 0xbd83…632f | Yes | 46 | 55.0¢ | $25 | — |
| frenchflair20xea2d…d8ba | Yes | 45 | 56.0¢ | $24 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | No | 51 | 45.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,224 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 39 | 51.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 39 | 54.0¢ | $21 | — |
| yoderwalter0x017e…493d | Yes | 38 | 55.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x1abc…45e7 | No | 42 | 44.6¢ | $19 | — |
| qqqmmmccc0x6d72…a399 | Yes | 30 | 38.6¢ | $16 | — |
| farik180x01ad…90f6 | Yes | 30 | 38.9¢ | $16 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 280 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 30 | 55.5¢ | $16 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| NoPasaran50x29a1…5645 | Yes | 30 | 56.0¢ | $16 | — |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 29 | 54.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| 0x9762…a5c2 | No | 32 | 45.9¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xaeed…be79 | Yes | 28 | 43.0¢ | $15 | — |
| l4920x7efb…68a1 | Yes | 27 | 59.2¢ | $14 | — |
| Siumicxdd1230x408a…fb8c | Yes | 26 | 57.0¢ | $14 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 46.0¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ghostviolet0x3da6…9ac4 | No | 28 | 42.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xd356…963d | No | 24 | 51.0¢ | $11 | — |
| kingnothingKC670xec6d…d1a9 | No | 21 | 47.0¢ | $10 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | No | 20 | 49.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x9796…5e42 | No | 17 | 53.0¢ | $8 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 17 | 45.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| rocky420190x8f13…daae | No | 17 | 46.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | No | 15 | 45.5¢ | $7 | — |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | No | 15 | 48.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 10 | 49.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| 7576770x7b98…5cfa | No | 10 | 46.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,528 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | No | 9 | 53.2¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.