Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 574 events · $31.7M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
18 proven traders are on Yes, 12 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 64,422 | 67.7¢ | $43.5K | New6 settled bets |
| SlavaUkraini0xe899…0899 | Yes | 57,469 | 68.2¢ | $38.8K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 78,237 | 34.4¢ | $25.4K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 728 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 58,279 | 33.1¢ | $18.9K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 191,746 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 19,580 | 69.9¢ | $13.2K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 17,852 | 72.0¢ | $12.1K | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,042 bets |