Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 18 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 64,004 | 32.6¢ | $20.2K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| SlavaUkraini0xe899…0899 | No | 22,920 | 74.4¢ | $15.7K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 37,570 | 32.2¢ | $11.8K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 9,177 | 70.4¢ | $6.29K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | No | 8,290 | 63.6¢ | $5.68K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | No | 8,203 | 56.3¢ | $5.62K | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |