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The big real-world questions that many markets depend on. Open one to see every market on it, where the money sits and which way proven traders lean.
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The big real-world questions that many markets depend on. Open one to see every market on it, where the money sits and which way proven traders lean.
Share of the in play
| # | Topic | Category | Share of all money | In play | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US 2028 presidential race | Politics | 19.2% | $63.2M | |
| 2 | US 2026 midterms | Politics | 10.2% | $33.7M | |
Live Polymarket data, read Oct 11, 2026, 14:30 UTC. Polyray is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Not financial advice.
| 3 |
| Iran conflict & Gulf shipping |
| Geopolitics |
| 9.6% |
| $31.6M |
| 4 | Bitcoin price | Crypto | 5.8% | $19M |
| 5 | Russia–Ukraine war | Geopolitics | 5.0% | $16.4M |
| 6 | Soccer | Sports | 4.6% | $15.1M |
| 7 | China–Taiwan | Geopolitics | 4.1% | $13.4M |
| 8 | NFL | Sports | 3.4% | $11.3M |
| 9 | US Fed rate path | Macro | 2.6% | $8.4M |
| 10 | US Government Confirms Aliens | Other | 2.4% | $7.76M |
| 11 | Ethereum price | Crypto | 2.4% | $7.75M |
| 12 | Premier League | Sports | 2.0% | $6.46M |
| 13 | New token launches (FDV) | Crypto | 1.6% | $5.34M |
| 14 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026 | Crypto | 1.6% | $5.25M |
| 15 | Anthropic valuation & IPO | Tech | 1.6% | $5.18M |
| 16 | Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | 1.5% | $4.96M |
| 17 | Brazil Presidential Election 2026 | Politics | 1.4% | $4.63M |
| 18 | Trump tenure & Greenland | Politics | 1.3% | $4.32M |
| 19 | Esports | Sports | 1.2% | $4.05M |
| 20 | Israeli Legislative Election 2026 | Politics | 1.2% | $3.85M |
| 21 | Trump tenure & Greenland | Politics | 1.1% | $3.54M |
| 22 | French Presidential Election | Politics | 1.0% | $3.32M |
| 23 | Formula 1 | Sports | 0.7% | $2.43M |
| 24 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026 | Crypto | 0.4% | $1.48M |
| 25 | Indiana enacts data center moratorium by... | Politics | 0.4% | $1.47M |