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Topic · Politics
140 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
1.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
7 · 140
that win or lose together
Biggest event ends
Apr 19
in 190 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen | 38.9¢ | down 5.9 points this week | $3.01M |
| Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:22 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Marine Le Pen |
| 89.0¢ |
| down 2 points this week |
| $0.19M |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? | Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 94.0¢ | up 0.2 points this week | $0.17M |
| French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026? | Dominique de Villepin | 70.0¢ | up 14 points this week | $17.1K |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête? | Zemmour | 76.5¢ | down 2.5 points this week | $1.3K |
| Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...? | April 17, 2027 | 34.5¢ | down 2.6 points this week | $1.0K |
| Will Macron call a referendum by December 31? | No | 95.8¢ | up 0.5 points this week | $206 |
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No on Olivier Faure | $7.6K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | François Asselineau | $1.1K | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Mathilde Panot | $488 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| aaabbb880xa985…a062 | François Asselineau | $356 | – |
| qingshiaa0x9bc3…4050 | No on Xavier Bertrand | $307 | – |
| 0x0a9d…e3a7 | No on Xavier Bertrand | $287 | – |
| 0x42fa…3bcb | No on Olivier Faure | $271 | – |
| LaBascule0x949b…b285 | Olivier Faure | $257 | – |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Xavier Bertrand | $218 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| Luche38bnb0x2252…17c3 | Olivier Faure | $210 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.