Marine Le Pen

Decided by

The candidate who wins the next French presidential election decides the market.§5

Results unknown by deadline

If results are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§7

Ambiguous results

If ambiguous, the market resolves based only on official results reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior.§9

Two-round runoff

If no candidate gets over 50%, the top two contenders advance to a runoff; the market includes any second round.§4

Timing of election

The market covers the next election whether it follows the scheduled end of the term or is held earlier.§2

Counted

The outcome counted is the candidate who wins the next French presidential election, including any second round.§6

Source

A consensus of credible reporting; if ambiguous, official results from the French Government's Ministry of the Interior.§8

Closes

Apr 19, 2027 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• Marine Le Pen 40.0¢
• Édouard Philippe 23.5¢
• David Lisnard 14.1¢
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10.5¢
• François Hollande 3.4¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 2.7¢
• Gabriel Attal 2.1¢
• Bruno Retailleau 1.1¢
• Sarah Knafo 1.0¢
• Christine Lagarde 0.7¢
• Jordan Bardella 0.5¢
• Dominique de Villepin 0.5¢

30 more outcomes in this event.

These 42 outcomes add up to 102.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 102.3¢ right now.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.