Bruno Retailleau

Decided by

The market resolves according to the candidate who wins the next French presidential election.§5

Results unknown by deadline

If results are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§7

Ambiguity

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on official results reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior.§9

Runoff included

The market includes any potential second round.§6

Early election

The market covers the next election whether it follows the scheduled end of the term or is held earlier.§2

Counted

The candidate who wins the election, including any potential second round.§5

Source

Consensus of credible reporting; for ambiguity, official French Government results from the Ministry of the Interior.§8

Closes

Apr 19, 2027 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• Marine Le Pen 40.0¢
• Édouard Philippe 21.5¢
• David Lisnard 14.0¢
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11.5¢
• François Hollande 3.4¢
• Gabriel Attal 2.1¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 1.8¢
• Bruno Retailleau 1.2¢
• Sarah Knafo 0.9¢
• Christine Lagarde 0.7¢
• Jordan Bardella 0.5¢
• Dominique de Villepin 0.4¢

30 more outcomes in this event.

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 100.2¢ right now.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.