Market · 29 of 42 outcomes
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
30 more outcomes in this event.
These 42 outcomes add up to 101.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $2.92M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 935 | 99.6¢ | $934 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 378,400 | 0.8¢ | $189 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 292,682 | 0.3¢ | $146 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 208,851 | 0.6¢ | $104 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| ririri0xf69e…e003 | No | 30 | 99.9¢ | $30 | — |
| oolel0x1cad…d8f0 | No | 24 | 99.8¢ | $24 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.