Market · 29 of 42 outcomes
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 935 | 99.6¢ | $934 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 392,500 | 0.8¢ | $196 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 292,682 | 0.3¢ | $146 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 208,851 | 0.6¢ | $104 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| ririri0xf69e…e003 | No | 30 | 99.9¢ | $30 | — |
| oolel0x1cad…d8f0 | No | 24 | 99.8¢ | $24 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 37,289 | 0.4¢ | $19 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| 16fj0x5461…eaf3 | No | 18 | 99.9¢ | $18 | — |
| tutu680xedf2…88b8 | No | 15 | 99.6¢ | $15 | — |
| 465650x3f91…79ce | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 23,850 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| 357570xafa0…3edb | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| zhenhuan880xc0d2…2bf5 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| yuykngh570x310e…948a | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Zypf70x7243…83f0 | Yes | 14,724 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| 654YTH0xfb05…0f25 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| dhfjgbvg0xf05d…08f4 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| YUIU6570x7101…b4b0 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 11,682 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| AnneCooper9400x18c1…729c | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 10,456 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| Animasahuneliz10x6c66…cc35 | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Jesuschristsuperstar0xfc53…9754 | Yes | 9,718 | 0.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Margaret33150x866d…8ded | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 7,756 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| jowitriviani0x8788…8aa8 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| pmbull0x0ac6…04f7 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| goteta0x9526…e1c2 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x932f…2d1f | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 4,842 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,790 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 4,710 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| repsol0x71af…c057 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| WoodenBoat0x5a0e…0f19 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| enormous0x6bf7…f854 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| ..0020x1575…d3d1 | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 3,904 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| Bieee0x2b31…1ed5 | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| 1centYes0x888e…b1a6 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 3,000 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,952 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| Rocamado0x7be5…a53b | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| daniadri0x04b2…e801 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| 0x88f9…f8c8 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 2,222 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| kenedyr0x8734…8505 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Mirkalev0xc36f…a0bf | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 88770xcc41…fab1 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| honreserektus0xc69b…1134 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,408 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| Allez-vous-en0xb742…4263 | Yes | 1,392 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 1,387 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$39.16 per $100 · 1,739 bets |
| gesst0xadaf…f9f2 | Yes | 1,200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$17.17 per $100 · 566 bets |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 1,045 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| pobearbullly0x1361…c5b3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | New1 settled bet |
| Armenia0x1537…c480 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.38 per $100 · 9,404 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 906 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| Baddie0xc1ff…25f1 | Yes | 900 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| gertrude740xeec5…0e74 | Yes | 853 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 743 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| tailevent0x87ef…99cd | Yes | 600 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 545 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| honduraslover0xaff3…6ecc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.79 per $100 · 17,393 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 505 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| LupusPax0x09c9…6162 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| malutkajenny0x226d…3aec | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Decaa0x34a9…0b36 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| acc320x3a30…99ec | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.36 per $100 · 2,439 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 467 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 420 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 379 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| El-Coronel0x8f9d…1cb9 | Yes | 373 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 353 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe36a…671d | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 334 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 300 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| PrognosticRhino0xa0bf…7c67 | Yes | 300 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| huaqiang0xdd73…3881 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| AIDROPP0x6f2a…9551 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Ant11110x28b3…7af3 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2f6d…9e53 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| HimadriNarayan10x6459…3795 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6cf5…4a23 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Abs4135540xd6cc…cc13 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| vikasvicky25450x01bb…b188 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.