Raphaël Glucksmann

Decided by

The market resolves according to the candidate who wins the next French presidential election.§5

Results unknown

If results are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§7

Ambiguity

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on official results reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior.§9

Two-round system

The President is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.§3

Runoff

If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.§4

Counted

The outcome of the next French presidential election, including any potential second round.§6

Source

The result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.§8

Closes

Apr 19, 2027 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 102.3¢ right now.

• Marine Le Pen 40.0¢
• Édouard Philippe 23.5¢
• David Lisnard 14.1¢
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10.5¢
• François Hollande 3.4¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 2.7¢
• Gabriel Attal 2.1¢
• Bruno Retailleau 1.1¢
• Sarah Knafo 1.0¢
• Christine Lagarde 0.7¢
• Jordan Bardella 0.5¢
• Dominique de Villepin 0.5¢

30 more outcomes in this event.

These 42 outcomes add up to 102.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.