Market · 7 of 42 outcomes
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dfry55hjhj0x8974…15a5 | No | 1,431 | 98.7¢ | $1.41K | — |
| mignonpignon0x6fb2…7adf | Yes | 68,911 | 1.6¢ | $1.21K | Losing−$1.07 per $100 · 478 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 55,000 | 1.9¢ | $962 | New6 settled bets |
| 0xf8d7…dbde | Yes | 53,512 | 1.6¢ | $936 | — |
| newbiereal0x4d14…c5c2 | Yes | 51,327 | 3.6¢ | $898 | New6 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 47,899 | 2.2¢ | $838 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0x7809…4d1f | Yes | 45,608 | 2.2¢ | $798 | New0 settled bets |
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | 45,438 | 2.0¢ | $795 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| Luche38bnb0x2252…17c3 | Yes | 45,025 | 2.5¢ | $788 | New2 settled bets |
| Bursted0x843e…d2f3 | Yes | 40,859 | 1.7¢ | $715 | New6 settled bets |
| testoooooooooooooor0x834c…f2c8 | Yes | 37,659 | 3.9¢ | $659 | New0 settled bets |
| cognomen0xe66b…7f43 | Yes | 32,003 | 3.0¢ | $560 | — |
| wac450xf94f…ffc0 | Yes | 27,483 | 1.7¢ | $481 | — |
| VDOGROUPZER0xd27a…aa0a | Yes | 25,928 | 2.4¢ | $454 | — |
| ymbetzzz0xcd61…0002 | Yes | 25,105 | 1.8¢ | $439 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 335 bets |
| 0x5c98…de6c | Yes | 23,521 | 1.9¢ | $412 | New6 settled bets |
| coloradogaston0x6fac…574e | Yes | 23,431 | 2.2¢ | $410 | New68 settled bets |
| Bouba00xf4d6…d4d6 | Yes | 22,687 | 2.0¢ | $397 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 382 | 98.4¢ | $376 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| raymondpoincare0x4420…ea24 | Yes | 19,919 | 1.7¢ | $349 | Positive+$11.70 per $100 · 177 bets |
| SivanMallard0x7f45…d880 | Yes | 19,333 | 2.5¢ | $338 | New50 settled bets |
| Philsar0x445f…29e1 | Yes | 18,165 | 2.7¢ | $318 | New0 settled bets |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | Yes | 17,020 | 1.4¢ | $298 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | Yes | 14,748 | 1.8¢ | $258 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| 0x9674…47b3 | Yes | 14,117 | 2.2¢ | $247 | — |
| 0x2df8…9747 | Yes | 12,895 | 2.0¢ | $226 | New10 settled bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 11,677 | 2.0¢ | $204 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| Yousnoozeyoulose0x2844…6709 | Yes | 11,200 | 2.3¢ | $196 | New46 settled bets |
| Kevin10010100x0770…1288 | No | 194 | 98.2¢ | $190 | New40 settled bets |
| gfhsg5h0x8402…f8bf | No | 183 | 98.5¢ | $180 | New31 settled bets |
| 0xa6b0…3d89 | Yes | 10,161 | 2.0¢ | $178 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 9,419 | 2.1¢ | $165 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| biboutou0xb014…c6f4 | Yes | 9,213 | 1.8¢ | $161 | New0 settled bets |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 8,492 | 1.8¢ | $149 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 2,081 bets |
| Barney-Gambler0x1210…53c3 | Yes | 7,978 | 3.8¢ | $140 | New14 settled bets |
| fetaxa0x1980…fbc8 | No | 132 | 98.4¢ | $130 | New19 settled bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 7,119 | 2.1¢ | $125 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| pensiNER440x6adc…0867 | No | 122 | 98.5¢ | $120 | New26 settled bets |
| 0x91c3…409f | No | 122 | 97.7¢ | $120 | New0 settled bets |
| blubra0xfcb4…c2a0 | Yes | 6,613 | 2.2¢ | $116 | — |
| 0xc1d8…b8ee | Yes | 6,282 | 1.7¢ | $110 | — |
| 0xee12…52f5 | Yes | 6,174 | 2.2¢ | $108 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 5,758 | 1.2¢ | $101 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| Brian12457uiyuoire0xcbe7…2ed2 | No | 102 | 98.3¢ | $100 | — |
| doudzer0x55d2…61ca | Yes | 5,650 | 2.0¢ | $99 | New15 settled bets |
| redrocks0x4807…cadb | No | 100 | 98.1¢ | $98 | New31 settled bets |
| manvsrice420x489d…f6e3 | No | 100 | 98.5¢ | $98 | Losing−$1.62 per $100 · 28,235 bets |
| fdsfuio0x89f1…7e4e | No | 100 | 98.1¢ | $98 | — |
| fukumean0x651d…6f4d | Yes | 5,432 | 1.8¢ | $95 | Losing−$15.84 per $100 · 132 bets |
| Chulee0x225c…40dc | Yes | 5,204 | 2.2¢ | $91 | New69 settled bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 5,190 | 2.5¢ | $91 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| papimuzoo0x3c8b…9f41 | Yes | 5,149 | 2.2¢ | $90 | New12 settled bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,125 | 0.6¢ | $90 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| Goca0xc3b2…86d5 | Yes | 5,064 | 3.1¢ | $89 | — |
| AlexDuck0xca1a…f4f8 | Yes | 4,939 | 1.1¢ | $86 | — |
| Urkund0xb015…ea58 | Yes | 4,800 | 4.1¢ | $84 | — |
| dennich0xa856…7655 | Yes | 4,717 | 2.1¢ | $83 | — |
| FreeBird90x876f…e56f | Yes | 4,374 | 2.5¢ | $77 | — |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | 4,000 | 2.1¢ | $70 | — |
| 0x7f5c…6ddd | Yes | 3,974 | 1.9¢ | $70 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 3,864 | 0.8¢ | $68 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| PhillipAdr687660xf8c2…455d | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | — |
| MikhailovG148700x3ccf…a574 | No | 50 | 98.1¢ | $49 | New33 settled bets |
| Guzzini0x537a…30dc | No | 50 | 98.3¢ | $49 | New10 settled bets |
| hhii70x8521…d9a7 | No | 50 | 98.3¢ | $49 | — |
| bbeerovich0xa09d…4ee0 | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | — |
| Lakatamatat0xe6d5…f1e2 | No | 50 | 98.3¢ | $49 | — |
| Garmash0xe7ee…cf79 | No | 50 | 98.3¢ | $49 | — |
| dcpdenchik0xf7dc…cb7f | No | 50 | 98.2¢ | $49 | — |
| milosmelly940xfa8c…9ed3 | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 42 | 97.2¢ | $42 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| Lepolo0x9127…6ff3 | No | 40 | 95.1¢ | $39 | Proven+$4.07 per $100 · 907 bets |
| BesTV0xc2bf…2e16 | No | 40 | 97.6¢ | $39 | — |
| Arvin-9630x70cb…3345 | No | 36 | 98.6¢ | $35 | New10 settled bets |
| 0xae3c…4ac1 | No | 34 | 98.0¢ | $34 | — |
| ggd150x13f5…bfa0 | No | 30 | 98.5¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 127 bets |
| Falima0x57cc…6bef | No | 26 | 98.0¢ | $26 | New34 settled bets |
| 0xfe15…c052 | No | 25 | 98.4¢ | $25 | — |
| jwinyean0x7f67…bb73 | No | 21 | 98.1¢ | $21 | New79 settled bets |
| manuga0x4db5…9f0f | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $20 | New44 settled bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 20 | 96.7¢ | $20 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| Ansel-4670xaeb1…e655 | No | 19 | 98.0¢ | $19 | — |
| konfaute0xca5e…5e1e | No | 18 | 98.1¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x8e6f…1ca9 | No | 16 | 98.3¢ | $16 | — |
| GwendolynMaggie0x1a89…abfc | No | 16 | 98.2¢ | $15 | New9 settled bets |
| newlife0010x462a…dd0a | No | 15 | 97.7¢ | $15 | New63 settled bets |
| angel1230x4b58…dbda | No | 15 | 97.7¢ | $15 | New71 settled bets |
| oeafloor80xbf27…a321 | No | 15 | 97.8¢ | $15 | — |
| rtyye563sewr0x98e3…c387 | No | 15 | 97.7¢ | $15 | — |
| 4clasfo9n0xb65c…9dca | No | 15 | 97.8¢ | $15 | — |
| RahulBh186226020x793b…1aa6 | No | 15 | 98.0¢ | $15 | New80 settled bets |
| Amymurp893945670xffc9…d955 | No | 15 | 98.0¢ | $15 | — |
| ioxbinto0x2535…6244 | No | 15 | 98.1¢ | $15 | New75 settled bets |
| iasowyer0xaeaf…476e | No | 15 | 98.1¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x0944…e77c | No | 14 | 98.1¢ | $14 | New9 settled bets |
| WernerClara0x9f6b…e85c | No | 14 | 97.7¢ | $13 | — |
| ideaveryg0x2f61…7ece | No | 13 | 97.8¢ | $13 | New80 settled bets |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | Yes | 11 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 11,334 bets |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 4 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 35 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.