David Lisnard

Decided by

The market resolves according to the candidate who wins the next French presidential election.§5

Results unknown by deadline

If the election results are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§7

Ambiguous results

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on the official results reported by the French Government's Ministry of the Interior.§9

Runoff included

The market includes any potential second round.§6

First-round threshold

A candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round; otherwise the top two advance to a runoff.§3

Counted

The candidate who wins the next French presidential election, including any second round.§5

Source

A consensus of credible reporting; for ambiguity, official results from the French Ministry of the Interior.§8

Closes

Apr 19, 2027 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• Marine Le Pen 40.0¢
• Édouard Philippe 21.5¢
• David Lisnard 14.0¢
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11.5¢
• François Hollande 3.4¢
• Gabriel Attal 2.1¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 1.8¢
• Bruno Retailleau 1.2¢
• Sarah Knafo 0.9¢
• Dominique de Villepin 0.7¢
• Christine Lagarde 0.7¢
• Jordan Bardella 0.5¢

30 more outcomes in this event.

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 100.6¢ right now.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.