Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Decided by

The candidate who wins the next French presidential election decides the market.§5

Results unknown

If the results are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§7

Ambiguous results

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on official results reported by the French Government Ministry of the Interior.§9

Runoff included

The market includes any potential second round.§6

Early election

The market pertains to the next French presidential election whether or not it is held at the scheduled end of the term.§2

Counted

The winner of the election, including any potential second round.§6

Source

A consensus of credible reporting; if ambiguous, official French Government results from the Ministry of the Interior.§8

Closes

Apr 19, 2027 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• Marine Le Pen 40.0¢
• Édouard Philippe 21.5¢
• David Lisnard 14.0¢
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11.5¢
• François Hollande 3.4¢
• Gabriel Attal 2.1¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 1.8¢
• Bruno Retailleau 1.2¢
• Sarah Knafo 0.9¢
• Dominique de Villepin 0.8¢
• Christine Lagarde 0.7¢
• Jordan Bardella 0.5¢

30 more outcomes in this event.

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 100.6¢ right now.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.