Market · 4 of 42 outcomes
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | No | 46,319 | 86.4¢ | $41K | New6 settled bets |
| Momo630x09be…9c32 | No | 45,782 | 88.0¢ | $40.5K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 628 bets |
| LlamaLoco00000x93fb…3e4a | Yes | 252,363 | 11.1¢ | $29K | Proven+$10.70 per $100 · 391 bets |
| oolacillll0x611d…641e | No | 22,607 | 88.4¢ | $20K | New0 settled bets |
| PappyB0x316a…c449 | Yes | 132,404 | 11.8¢ | $15.2K | New9 settled bets |
| Hamapo0x9a15…68ab | No | 16,574 | 90.8¢ | $14.7K | — |
| Luche38bnb0x2252…17c3 | Yes | 88,425 | 14.1¢ | $10.2K | New2 settled bets |
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b | No | 10,000 | 87.0¢ | $8.85K | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 525 bets |
| BaucheJerome0x2cb0…6554 | Yes | 62,634 | 13.4¢ | $7.2K | New0 settled bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 8,053 | 89.4¢ | $7.13K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| spx110xff36…e757 | Yes | 44,880 | 13.0¢ | $5.16K | Proven+$10.51 per $100 · 174 bets |
| CasanaView0x43c4…5565 | No | 5,700 | 88.4¢ | $5.04K | New4 settled bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 5,315 | 89.5¢ | $4.7K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| resuildde0xa9c9…43d2 | Yes | 40,817 | 12.0¢ | $4.69K | New1 settled bet |
| Dynvest0x81f0…71ed | Yes | 35,000 | 12.4¢ | $4.03K | Break-even−$0.94 per $100 · 131 bets |
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | No | 4,319 | 88.0¢ | $3.82K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 723 bets |
| Plawaan0x4248…d43f | Yes | 32,359 | 12.3¢ | $3.72K | Proven+$11.78 per $100 · 197 bets |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | No | 4,050 | 86.3¢ | $3.58K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 715 bets |
| 0x44f5…63ac | Yes | 27,708 | 11.2¢ | $3.19K | Losing−$8.95 per $100 · 3,126 bets |
| datperson0x5d2f…24de | Yes | 23,212 | 9.5¢ | $2.67K | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 134 bets |
| POLO0x9aea…b686 | No | 2,976 | 86.7¢ | $2.63K | Losing−$9.34 per $100 · 217 bets |
| NiceTryDiddy-8690xdae2…0d5e | Yes | 22,814 | 22.6¢ | $2.62K | — |
| Meynaaar0xa515…a800 | Yes | 21,175 | 13.2¢ | $2.44K | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 2,423 | 87.9¢ | $2.14K | New69 settled bets |
| 0x5234…d3da | No | 2,174 | 92.0¢ | $1.92K | New29 settled bets |
| 0x4ae7…411f | No | 2,169 | 92.5¢ | $1.92K | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 1,185 bets |
| 0x3b8e…72fe | No | 2,149 | 87.6¢ | $1.9K | New15 settled bets |
| LeCrabeCroustillant0x0a7f…b0a5 | Yes | 15,904 | 10.1¢ | $1.83K | New1 settled bet |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 2,000 | 88.0¢ | $1.77K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,101 bets |
| usnsltc0x7b8d…76b2 | No | 1,926 | 87.5¢ | $1.7K | New4 settled bets |
| florian840xa8d9…c0e1 | No | 1,899 | 89.1¢ | $1.68K | — |
| Skaliz0x4ba4…8a89 | Yes | 14,000 | 12.4¢ | $1.61K | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| keepwatch-politic0x2251…25a0 | No | 1,819 | 87.5¢ | $1.61K | Losing−$4.35 per $100 · 271 bets |
| yannick0x3d4a…621b | No | 1,783 | 89.3¢ | $1.58K | New92 settled bets |
| Hotdog340x2288…786b | No | 1,550 | 86.6¢ | $1.37K | New29 settled bets |
| Frankeethecat0x13e0…c5ca | No | 1,429 | 91.0¢ | $1.26K | New47 settled bets |
| EHA0x4bbe…abc6 | Yes | 10,660 | 16.3¢ | $1.23K | New71 settled bets |
| TheRealCoon0xb147…9a1c | Yes | 10,481 | 6.6¢ | $1.21K | — |
| Montecarlaw0xb524…0808 | Yes | 10,321 | 13.7¢ | $1.19K | Positive+$1.86 per $100 · 1,033 bets |
| Machaon0xe3e4…8d04 | Yes | 10,000 | 11.2¢ | $1.15K | — |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | No | 1,297 | 37.0¢ | $1.15K | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| Carlitos0x90e3…2846 | Yes | 9,747 | 11.4¢ | $1.12K | — |
| lavoyante0x2674…6736 | No | 1,235 | 89.0¢ | $1.09K | New0 settled bets |
| Methaslegs0x4db7…d20e | Yes | 9,500 | 11.0¢ | $1.09K | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 401 bets |
| NicoZZZ0xa779…0aac | No | 1,203 | 88.3¢ | $1.06K | — |
| skibabiba0x79d9…baec | No | 1,200 | 90.0¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 116 bets |
| grrrrrr0x5730…5cff | Yes | 9,056 | 12.4¢ | $1.04K | Losing−$57.61 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 0x9bbd…6e72 | No | 1,169 | 46.2¢ | $1.03K | — |
| Haelios0x416b…bad6 | Yes | 8,888 | 15.0¢ | $1.02K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 828 bets |
| e93fdd50d6419b0x9dd9…bc0b | Yes | 8,869 | 13.1¢ | $1.02K | — |
| rosigeo0x0c94…9b92 | No | 1,144 | 85.4¢ | $1.01K | New0 settled bets |
| SHA10240x59e2…f74f | No | 1,136 | 88.4¢ | $1.01K | New12 settled bets |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | No | 1,050 | 87.7¢ | $929 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| DominiqueStraussKahn0xff78…04e3 | Yes | 7,752 | 11.1¢ | $891 | — |
| maxbth0xcde3…6aac | Yes | 7,739 | 12.5¢ | $890 | — |
| armand0x18aa…f6ec | No | 1,000 | 91.0¢ | $885 | Proven+$6.27 per $100 · 362 bets |
| PancraceRoyer0x29d3…b2ed | No | 1,000 | 84.0¢ | $885 | Proven+$11.54 per $100 · 638 bets |
| alexandeurC1Ce1F3EF6dBdE8C24542510e54Ea30xca04…8070 | Yes | 7,328 | 9.3¢ | $843 | — |
| nuiuh0x0181…e9b3 | Yes | 6,690 | 13.5¢ | $769 | New0 settled bets |
| polm550x00fa…3026 | Yes | 6,667 | 0.0¢ | $767 | New0 settled bets |
| Benjouille370x8ded…7334 | Yes | 6,660 | 11.0¢ | $766 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,628 | 0.8¢ | $762 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| Cosmicfrog0xa1b4…9049 | No | 860 | 87.5¢ | $761 | — |
| mystix230x3202…7597 | Yes | 6,404 | 13.5¢ | $736 | New42 settled bets |
| ninasinone0xcf29…af8f | Yes | 6,314 | 7.0¢ | $726 | — |
| roronoagako12050x7f59…7d29 | Yes | 6,088 | 13.1¢ | $700 | Positive+$21.14 per $100 · 199 bets |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | No | 780 | 85.6¢ | $690 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,994 | 0.8¢ | $689 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| grosprouteur0xb2fe…b706 | Yes | 5,984 | 11.1¢ | $688 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 5,953 | 12.1¢ | $685 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| VulcainleMM0x9692…7d0f | Yes | 5,706 | 16.3¢ | $656 | — |
| Lockente0x9092…2933 | Yes | 5,463 | 11.2¢ | $628 | — |
| 0x150d…8055 | No | 703 | 92.3¢ | $622 | New1 settled bet |
| patopesto0x271b…d4b0 | Yes | 5,288 | 13.4¢ | $608 | New63 settled bets |
| HagiwaraSr.0x402a…a7e7 | Yes | 5,000 | 12.4¢ | $575 | New18 settled bets |
| firegold0x1d5f…634d | Yes | 5,000 | 13.0¢ | $575 | Proven+$3.24 per $100 · 667 bets |
| 0x1ad1…e881 | Yes | 4,944 | 12.3¢ | $569 | New96 settled bets |
| TonyVallelonga0xd001…52de | Yes | 4,900 | 10.0¢ | $563 | — |
| 0x2fea…2b78 | Yes | 4,818 | 15.5¢ | $554 | New35 settled bets |
| narvall0180x7dda…0741 | No | 622 | 88.4¢ | $550 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x8b63…a475 | No | 586 | 87.5¢ | $519 | — |
| iadme0x0770…184b | No | 582 | 88.4¢ | $515 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 2,502 bets |
| 0xb77c…0cfe | Yes | 4,466 | 14.2¢ | $514 | — |
| 0x1b6f…e013 | Yes | 4,411 | 12.5¢ | $507 | New0 settled bets |
| LeIench0x3326…afa1 | No | 556 | 90.1¢ | $492 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 108 bets |
| Gwendoline0x238a…3b20 | Yes | 4,243 | 7.0¢ | $488 | New0 settled bets |
| Betty20x9218…51be | Yes | 4,167 | 12.4¢ | $479 | — |
| QuietRidgePilot0x7c61…ec73 | No | 539 | 88.3¢ | $477 | New95 settled bets |
| bR8LkJw9TqM0x25d1…9af7 | No | 536 | 88.3¢ | $475 | — |
| n1c01a50xb7d0…3ce8 | Yes | 4,109 | 12.6¢ | $472 | — |
| VLONA0x7b60…f259 | Yes | 4,100 | 14.4¢ | $471 | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 126 bets |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | No | 507 | 86.5¢ | $449 | — |
| JwM6RbLp9q0x10a7…8652 | No | 505 | 88.3¢ | $447 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 186 bets |
| dball0x0b48…9e7a | No | 500 | 88.4¢ | $443 | New81 settled bets |
| korETHja0xb5f6…adc3 | No | 500 | 84.0¢ | $443 | — |
| DrA11c0m30x5f57…fd0e | No | 500 | 91.0¢ | $442 | New39 settled bets |
| DistantCinder0x6b93…dbb5 | No | 496 | 89.0¢ | $439 | — |
| SirHarryOakes0x5685…62e2 | No | 469 | 86.7¢ | $415 | Proven+$5.58 per $100 · 297 bets |
| ZLp3qT9Mn70x7fc7…4b3e | No | 464 | 89.0¢ | $411 | Positive+$32.58 per $100 · 192 bets |
| QuietFalconTrace0xb1b8…df9e | No | 444 | 88.3¢ | $393 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.