Market · 1 of 42 outcomes
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
15 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco00000x93fb…3e4a | No | 367,789 | 62.8¢ | $221K | Proven+$10.70 per $100 · 391 bets |
| Bursted0x843e…d2f3 | Yes | 371,122 | 32.1¢ | $148K | New6 settled bets |
| DOF20xd2cb…b9ea | Yes | 100,000 | 44.5¢ | $39.9K | New1 settled bet |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | Yes | 94,542 | 33.9¢ | $37.8K | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,766 bets |
| 0xeb40…174b | Yes | 64,912 | 36.2¢ | $25.9K | New1 settled bet |
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | 45,437 | 31.1¢ | $18.2K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 26,364 | 37.0¢ | $10.5K | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| BTCmaxi0xa40a…fa62 | Yes | 25,062 | 46.4¢ | $10K | New85 settled bets |
| 4zzzz0xf7a1…9dce | Yes | 24,728 | 6.2¢ | $9.88K | New34 settled bets |
| Tradman0x6ac7…aabb | Yes | 22,639 | 21.0¢ | $9.04K | New52 settled bets |
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | Yes | 22,000 | 33.1¢ | $8.79K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| Thibaud0x970a…7016 | Yes | 21,935 | 43.3¢ | $8.76K | New5 settled bets |
| worknplay0x4201…6133 | Yes | 21,721 | 42.6¢ | $8.68K | Losing−$55.27 per $100 · 124 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 20,580 | 11.3¢ | $8.22K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 20,447 | 44.1¢ | $8.17K | Proven+$7.88 per $100 · 526 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 20,000 | 43.2¢ | $7.99K | New6 settled bets |
| Railcool0x94c4…43ca | Yes | 20,000 | 36.3¢ | $7.99K | Proven+$13.67 per $100 · 222 bets |
| 0xc00d…6cd3 | Yes | 20,000 | 36.2¢ | $7.99K | New13 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 17,900 | 36.1¢ | $7.15K | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | Yes | 15,000 | 34.1¢ | $5.99K | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| l3t00xd14a…a8ad | Yes | 14,800 | 43.4¢ | $5.91K | Proven+$6.10 per $100 · 109 bets |
| Quants20x2ccc…5a0f | Yes | 12,907 | 11.5¢ | $5.16K | New62 settled bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 12,752 | 39.7¢ | $5.09K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 12,397 | 37.4¢ | $4.95K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| 0xcbab…9a8a | Yes | 12,248 | 41.0¢ | $4.89K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 573 bets |
| Scalpoor0x8b36…a393 | Yes | 12,000 | 42.5¢ | $4.79K | New49 settled bets |
| avon50x7ffc…d342 | No | 7,240 | 66.6¢ | $4.35K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 235 bets |
| 0xb4d1…4c60 | No | 7,113 | 71.3¢ | $4.27K | New79 settled bets |
| nono9720x9bd2…f868 | No | 7,000 | 59.9¢ | $4.2K | Losing−$14.49 per $100 · 110 bets |
| 0xdb43…d5bd | No | 6,995 | 61.9¢ | $4.2K | New4 settled bets |
| claudemooney0x6a3b…ed7d | Yes | 10,487 | 11.2¢ | $4.19K | New5 settled bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 10,411 | 35.5¢ | $4.16K | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| Freedom-BY0xcc7c…1d18 | Yes | 10,000 | 44.5¢ | $4K | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 725 bets |
| VeganCyclist0xbcac…6621 | Yes | 10,000 | 41.0¢ | $3.99K | Positive+$32.28 per $100 · 112 bets |
| themain0x2f9d…deb3 | Yes | 9,559 | 46.1¢ | $3.82K | New40 settled bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 9,494 | 44.3¢ | $3.79K | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 9,046 | 39.0¢ | $3.61K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| 0x9366…6350 | Yes | 8,962 | 39.6¢ | $3.58K | New88 settled bets |
| 0x5161…3c38 | Yes | 8,200 | 14.5¢ | $3.28K | New35 settled bets |
| Giorgio20x9cb9…7b80 | Yes | 8,000 | 39.8¢ | $3.2K | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,037 bets |
| 0x6c92…1322 | Yes | 8,000 | 42.9¢ | $3.2K | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 2,039 bets |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | Yes | 7,767 | 42.2¢ | $3.1K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| jklsjdwoqejasdf0x05df…882d | Yes | 7,568 | 33.9¢ | $3.02K | Proven+$4.26 per $100 · 299 bets |
| ImBruceWayne0x0097…4a1d | Yes | 7,550 | 34.3¢ | $3.02K | Proven+$53.98 per $100 · 416 bets |
| Methaslegs0x4db7…d20e | Yes | 7,500 | 21.7¢ | $3K | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 401 bets |
| TheEmprah0x4cb5…b536 | Yes | 7,226 | 34.8¢ | $2.89K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 213 bets |
| 0x150d…8055 | Yes | 6,929 | 28.2¢ | $2.77K | New1 settled bet |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | No | 4,500 | 57.9¢ | $2.7K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| xccc0x22a8…5d12 | No | 4,383 | 89.4¢ | $2.63K | New55 settled bets |
| madmartigan50xdd15…4a07 | Yes | 6,266 | 38.0¢ | $2.5K | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 209 bets |
| maximedavid0x5a92…52f8 | Yes | 6,010 | 8.7¢ | $2.4K | New50 settled bets |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 5,905 | 36.2¢ | $2.36K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| 47513460x6dd6…f5f4 | Yes | 5,803 | 45.1¢ | $2.32K | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 3,383 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 5,603 | 9.3¢ | $2.24K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| Lepolo0x9127…6ff3 | Yes | 5,452 | 34.1¢ | $2.18K | Proven+$4.07 per $100 · 907 bets |
| TBill10xd52b…5c72 | Yes | 5,228 | 28.6¢ | $2.09K | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 561 bets |
| 0xce5c…f4b9 | Yes | 5,035 | 35.6¢ | $2.01K | Proven+$3.92 per $100 · 1,128 bets |
| PainChoco0x2ed2…56e0 | No | 3,040 | 67.7¢ | $1.83K | New39 settled bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 2,172 | 66.2¢ | $1.3K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,357 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 2,000 | 60.3¢ | $1.2K | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | No | 2,000 | 59.1¢ | $1.2K | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| julio130x3edd…4edf | No | 1,875 | 65.2¢ | $1.13K | New71 settled bets |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 1,592 | 60.4¢ | $956 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| j4un30x9fa2…0ea8 | No | 1,552 | 63.1¢ | $932 | Losing−$5.16 per $100 · 3,903 bets |
| fatalyty300x6e9c…bf99 | No | 1,432 | 70.7¢ | $860 | Break-even−$0.55 per $100 · 105 bets |
| locklihead0x6619…0a5d | No | 1,404 | 59.2¢ | $843 | New10 settled bets |
| olih_ - 244150x0782…616d | No | 1,247 | 93.3¢ | $749 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 147 bets |
| myth39480x9529…4c83 | No | 1,100 | 62.6¢ | $661 | New0 settled bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 1,054 | 72.2¢ | $633 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| yesbro0x3091…013c | No | 1,052 | 55.5¢ | $632 | New98 settled bets |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 986 | 65.5¢ | $592 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| egrk0x25b9…2970 | No | 957 | 63.8¢ | $575 | Losing−$6.04 per $100 · 232 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 929 | 63.4¢ | $558 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| 0x7809…4d1f | No | 876 | 58.8¢ | $526 | New0 settled bets |
| Crypto-J0x5769…1796 | No | 809 | 73.7¢ | $486 | New5 settled bets |
| supahao0x2ac9…8469 | No | 800 | 63.4¢ | $480 | New49 settled bets |
| okokokokok0x6cf3…47d4 | No | 796 | 63.7¢ | $478 | Losing−$28.69 per $100 · 141 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 728 | 60.2¢ | $437 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| 0xc1d4…3095 | No | 726 | 69.8¢ | $436 | New2 settled bets |
| Yousnoozeyoulose0x2844…6709 | No | 700 | 62.8¢ | $420 | New46 settled bets |
| Pierromeister0x0338…be7a | No | 673 | 60.4¢ | $404 | New0 settled bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 1,000 | 7.7¢ | $400 | New69 settled bets |
| MATxyz0x8ca4…ab87 | No | 661 | 58.5¢ | $397 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x982b…e32c | No | 656 | 64.9¢ | $394 | New1 settled bet |
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc0x477a…2d8e | No | 651 | 57.4¢ | $391 | Losing−$2.93 per $100 · 908 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 948 | 19.3¢ | $379 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| pogb0xc03f…249d | No | 600 | 61.0¢ | $360 | — |
| ulysse2220x25d9…ff14 | No | 600 | 61.3¢ | $360 | New42 settled bets |
| Boogy0xa82a…be8c | No | 583 | 69.5¢ | $350 | Losing−$10.47 per $100 · 273 bets |
| shakkha0xa781…19ed | No | 573 | 55.3¢ | $344 | New4 settled bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 572 | 61.5¢ | $343 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| gyarados0x7c56…7a6c | No | 570 | 71.0¢ | $342 | New1 settled bet |
8 accounts bet both sides equally · 6.69K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.