Loading this topic
Topic · Politics
19 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
1.3% of Polymarket
Events · markets
13 · 19
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
2 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 82 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 97.8¢ | up 0.2 points this week | $2.91M |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:02 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No |
| 97.2¢ |
| down 0.1 points this week |
| $0.89M |
| Will Trump be impeached by...? | December 31, 2027 | 70.0¢ | up 11 points this week | $0.16M |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | up 0.2 points this week | $0.16M |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 84.5¢ | up 5.5 points this week | $49.9K |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | No | 96.7¢ | down 0.7 points this week | $16.8K |
| Will Alberta join the US? | No | 98.9¢ | – | $14.2K |
| Will Trump resign before 2027? | No | 97.5¢ | – | $8.7K |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other by...? | December 31, 2027 | 16.0¢ | – | $5.4K |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | No | 96.8¢ | up 0.2 points this week | $4.9K |
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| TraderSDG0x6ae0…1472 | No on Trump acquire Greenland before 2027 | $493.6K | New17 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No on Trump acquire Greenland before 2027 | $232.0K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No on Trump acquire Greenland before 2027 | $216.4K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| Macks220x1057…9ea5 | No on Trump acquire Greenland before 2027 | $200.4K | Proven+$31.50 per $100 · 122 bets |
| Jan7770xb8e3…aaf2 | No on US acquire part of Greenland in 2026 | $121.9K | Proven+$3.69 per $100 · 210 bets |
| keribit0xc9dc…9026 | No on Trump acquire Greenland before 2027 | $116.4K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 496 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No on Trump acquire Greenland before 2027 | $113.6K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| TerreMoto0x0b21…deb6 | No on Trump acquire Greenland before 2027 | $86.2K | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 258 bets |
| SwissMiss0xdbad…9c95 | No on US acquire part of Greenland in 2026 | $61.6K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 1,076 bets |
| Batundi0x9604…fc1d | No on Trump acquire Greenland before 2027 | $61.2K | Losing−$2.39 per $100 · 175 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.