Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -wraith-0x238d…70d8 | No | 15,204 | 77.4¢ | $12.7K | — |
| itxsaw20x3038…9368 | No | 4,609 | 76.8¢ | $3.85K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 4,128 |
| 76.8¢ |
| $3.45K |
| Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| valetecaolho0x162f…978f | Yes | 19,394 | 22.1¢ | $3.2K | — |
| apostadormil0xbebe…72e1 | No | 3,629 | 78.3¢ | $3.03K | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 3,449 | 73.7¢ | $2.88K | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |