Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -wraith-0x238d…70d8 | No | 15,204 | 77.4¢ | $12.5K | — |
| itxsaw20x3038…9368 | No | 4,609 | 76.8¢ | $3.8K | — |
| valetecaolho0x162f…978f | Yes | 19,674 | 22.1¢ | $3.44K | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 4,128 | 76.8¢ | $3.41K | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| apostadormil0xbebe…72e1 | No | 3,629 | 78.3¢ | $2.99K | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 3,449 | 73.7¢ | $2.85K | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| bancomaster0xa7ed…18f6 | No | 2,369 | 78.8¢ | $1.95K | — |
| BeginnersLuck20x8817…cda8 | No | 1,671 | 84.5¢ | $1.38K | — |
| VLamarca0xf6d6…f810 | No | 1,280 | 72.7¢ | $1.06K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 278 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,267 | 80.0¢ | $1.05K | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| 0x2457…27b9 | Yes | 5,606 | 25.5¢ | $981 | — |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | No | 1,149 | 66.1¢ | $948 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 3,039 bets |
| DarkFish0x87cb…6232 | No | 1,013 | 78.9¢ | $836 | — |
| willsom0xaa99…dbbf | No | 839 | 80.1¢ | $692 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 782 bets |
| xcaiox0x7478…4003 | No | 713 | 81.9¢ | $588 | Proven+$7.09 per $100 · 278 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 700 | 77.5¢ | $578 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| ibov300k0x416a…5b4a | No | 634 | 63.1¢ | $523 | — |
| lukas110x5c27…1555 | No | 601 | 73.9¢ | $496 | — |
| xandinho0xb1bc…087d | No | 571 | 64.4¢ | $471 | — |
| AlbertoFGomez0x106e…cb9c | Yes | 2,417 | 18.8¢ | $423 | — |
| Trowahx0xb6b9…b455 | No | 390 | 77.7¢ | $321 | — |
| 0x05ae…5323 | No | 380 | 75.8¢ | $314 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 1,734 | 19.3¢ | $303 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| Noblesing0x63eb…4455 | No | 368 | 82.2¢ | $303 | — |
| 0x36e5…fd74 | Yes | 1,686 | 23.0¢ | $295 | New75 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,575 | 19.4¢ | $276 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 77777s4il0r0x7cc7…6c9a | No | 303 | 77.3¢ | $250 | — |
| HugolinoXavier0xaece…87f3 | Yes | 1,429 | 33.7¢ | $250 | New37 settled bets |
| h0ip0ll0i0x95ba…3a5c | No | 272 | 73.8¢ | $225 | — |
| Nicolasro910x671c…e261 | No | 272 | 77.9¢ | $224 | — |
| HopeBD0x8342…b349 | No | 261 | 77.4¢ | $215 | — |
| RayBrazil0xd95d…a058 | No | 260 | 77.7¢ | $214 | — |
| 0xb7c6…a679 | No | 252 | 79.9¢ | $208 | — |
| WillyMiag0x214a…3001 | Yes | 1,188 | 28.3¢ | $208 | — |
| mezenes0xc103…e652 | No | 225 | 80.6¢ | $185 | — |
| Ninalinda0xd785…b5b7 | Yes | 1,055 | 9.0¢ | $185 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 1,017 | 17.7¢ | $178 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| 0x05c6…3a8f | No | 208 | 77.7¢ | $171 | — |
| 0x348xserenoo0x348d…5102 | No | 168 | 74.9¢ | $138 | — |
| chatgpt.com0x4fad…1480 | No | 166 | 82.6¢ | $137 | Losing−$4.42 per $100 · 8,366 bets |
| 0x300f…d366 | No | 158 | 79.0¢ | $131 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 730 | 12.8¢ | $128 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| EdgeSniperBR0xb074…9fb3 | No | 147 | 70.4¢ | $121 | — |
| 0xde28…2115 | Yes | 670 | 23.3¢ | $117 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 140 | 79.3¢ | $116 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| 0x229a…3c6d | No | 137 | 73.3¢ | $113 | — |
| Betocantu0x2e59…f95d | Yes | 617 | 16.8¢ | $108 | — |
| eiwgny0xfe56…9be6 | Yes | 613 | 16.8¢ | $107 | — |
| fezasso0x7f4e…52f2 | No | 127 | 79.2¢ | $105 | — |
| PeRaLtA123450xf870…4edc | No | 122 | 81.7¢ | $101 | — |
| contaabener0xd5a6…f76d | Yes | 554 | 32.2¢ | $97 | — |
| askadguiadsagyda0xad25…a8a4 | Yes | 550 | 26.8¢ | $96 | — |
| SpecFreak0x6227…d23c | Yes | 500 | 14.8¢ | $88 | — |
| 0x3f53…d9d2 | Yes | 493 | 16.8¢ | $86 | — |
| lguedes0x9aec…69d9 | Yes | 490 | 38.8¢ | $86 | — |
| Natsan0x91e5…0947 | No | 100 | 75.8¢ | $83 | — |
| BruninhoDaPanela0x8a67…9764 | No | 100 | 71.0¢ | $82 | — |
| WinnerWinnerChickenDinner120x7291…5b4d | No | 88 | 68.9¢ | $73 | — |
| stratscapital0xfd30…1873 | Yes | 408 | 31.8¢ | $71 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 86 | 73.4¢ | $71 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| 0x9bbd…6e72 | No | 82 | 44.0¢ | $67 | — |
| antestardedoquenunca0x8e14…8aa3 | Yes | 383 | 25.0¢ | $67 | — |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 81 | 62.0¢ | $67 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 65 | 76.5¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Judea-Pearl0x4e94…d649 | No | 65 | 65.4¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 515 bets |
| baratinhacripto0x68ee…171f | Yes | 290 | 6.0¢ | $51 | — |
| 0x89b6…4496 | Yes | 264 | 27.3¢ | $46 | — |
| 0xcaf6…505c | No | 55 | 82.0¢ | $45 | — |
| tobolg0x8d2a…a437 | No | 54 | 94.0¢ | $44 | — |
| Dmalka0xf057…6ec2 | No | 52 | 67.0¢ | $43 | — |
| Guyton0x32ff…f19d | Yes | 244 | 33.7¢ | $43 | — |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 51 | 69.2¢ | $42 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| marthira0x23f4…0a5f | No | 50 | 93.0¢ | $41 | New13 settled bets |
| andro1d0x5364…d667 | No | 50 | 83.0¢ | $41 | — |
| peidaleite1230x797b…26d2 | Yes | 207 | 29.2¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x94d9…bc47 | Yes | 206 | 17.6¢ | $36 | — |
| RenoAzevedo0xb68c…f2a1 | Yes | 203 | 25.4¢ | $36 | — |
| bdc120xac57…65cc | Yes | 200 | 25.0¢ | $35 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 200 | 24.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| 0xf1c7…34d1 | Yes | 193 | 26.6¢ | $34 | — |
| 0xd282…a206 | Yes | 173 | 36.0¢ | $30 | — |
| donsatoshi0xb31d…580e | Yes | 173 | 22.9¢ | $30 | — |
| Cassian370x204a…db98 | Yes | 169 | 13.6¢ | $30 | — |
| Gobag2440xc62a…099a | Yes | 167 | 36.8¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xf9cd…83d4 | Yes | 167 | 28.5¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x96df…8714 | Yes | 167 | 30.0¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 161 | 15.0¢ | $28 | New96 settled bets |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | Yes | 159 | 21.8¢ | $28 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 130 | 18.4¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Mello250x3a2b…b784 | Yes | 118 | 26.0¢ | $21 | — |
| p4n0x9c05…abc9 | Yes | 118 | 17.6¢ | $21 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 114 | 18.4¢ | $20 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Shredz0x9963…14ac | Yes | 110 | 18.7¢ | $19 | — |
| BadejoTrader0xacf2…1dd4 | Yes | 104 | 14.4¢ | $18 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| asdfjsadfioklsdafiosdafnlsdajk0x5d4b…e72f | Yes | 100 | 16.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Boss.B0xc232…5b6b | Yes | 99 | 38.4¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x0d0f…715e | Yes | 91 | 33.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 91 | 27.1¢ | $16 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Batti0xd66d…8468 | Yes | 81 | 19.8¢ | $14 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.