Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -wraith-0x238d…70d8 | No | 5,850 | 79.1¢ | $5.65K | — |
| xcaiox0x7478…4003 | No | 2,792 | 79.6¢ | $2.7K | Proven+$7.09 per $100 · 278 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| LongAndWindingRoad0xbded…5ae9 |
| No |
| 1,799 |
| 82.1¢ |
| $1.74K |
| Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 181 bets |
| VLamarca0xf6d6…f810 | No | 1,210 | 93.2¢ | $1.17K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 278 bets |
| BeginnersLuck20x8817…cda8 | No | 1,116 | 95.5¢ | $1.08K | — |
| Caiado0x459a…7a07 | No | 646 | 77.4¢ | $624 | — |