Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -wraith-0x238d…70d8 | No | 5,850 | 79.1¢ | $5.65K | — |
| xcaiox0x7478…4003 | No | 2,792 | 79.6¢ | $2.7K | Proven+$7.09 per $100 · 278 bets |
| LongAndWindingRoad0xbded…5ae9 | No | 1,799 | 82.1¢ | $1.74K | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 181 bets |
| VLamarca0xf6d6…f810 | No | 1,210 | 93.2¢ | $1.17K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 278 bets |
| BeginnersLuck20x8817…cda8 | No | 1,116 | 95.5¢ | $1.08K | — |
| Caiado0x459a…7a07 | No | 646 | 77.4¢ | $624 | — |
| Quantirion0x5c2b…c4bc | No | 400 | 85.2¢ | $387 | — |
| sisyphos0x3140…76d9 | No | 350 | 80.7¢ | $338 | — |
| itxsaw20x3038…9368 | No | 307 | 83.6¢ | $297 | — |
| xandinho0xb1bc…087d | No | 276 | 78.8¢ | $266 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 254 | 94.0¢ | $245 | Positive+$4.02 per $100 · 58,748+ bets · updating |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 200 | 81.2¢ | $193 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 191 | 81.8¢ | $185 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| 0x229a…3c6d | No | 172 | 87.0¢ | $167 | — |
| bancomaster0xa7ed…18f6 | No | 100 | 85.4¢ | $97 | — |
| 0x4f11…2c8e | No | 97 | 83.0¢ | $93 | — |
| baratinhacripto0x68ee…171f | Yes | 2,211 | 8.9¢ | $74 | — |
| MarcusLoc0x679a…7a49 | No | 75 | 80.3¢ | $73 | — |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 61 | 82.0¢ | $59 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| grut6750xc1c0…511e | No | 61 | 82.6¢ | $59 | — |
| God-is-great0xfbad…d55b | No | 60 | 95.4¢ | $58 | — |
| peedtftg0xabf2…83ed | No | 59 | 96.5¢ | $57 | — |
| iknowabotur0x47ce…fb29 | No | 59 | 96.7¢ | $57 | — |
| biggothgirlboots0xef5f…7334 | No | 57 | 96.3¢ | $55 | — |
| Marcelix0x5f53…f9fa | Yes | 1,452 | 27.8¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x348xserenoo0x348d…5102 | No | 50 | 92.6¢ | $48 | — |
| robertaganzo0x328b…566b | No | 50 | 96.5¢ | $48 | — |
| 0xb6d8…a64f | No | 45 | 82.8¢ | $43 | — |
| juliocm0x6908…75c6 | No | 45 | 80.0¢ | $43 | — |
| 0x1bdd…0b26 | Yes | 1,240 | 14.6¢ | $42 | — |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | No | 37 | 36.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| HuntersMethDealer0x3989…27b1 | Yes | 1,015 | 7.0¢ | $34 | Positive+$7.46 per $100 · 1,695 bets |
| kstc190xd60d…19a9 | No | 32 | 94.7¢ | $30 | — |
| kstc17a0x328b…fa07 | No | 31 | 94.7¢ | $30 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 862 | 1.6¢ | $29 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| mezenes0xc103…e652 | No | 29 | 82.7¢ | $28 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 26 | 96.2¢ | $25 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| WhatTheTrip0x4009…84cd | No | 25 | 79.2¢ | $24 | — |
| FluminenseFC0x1f25…4d4b | Yes | 575 | 15.3¢ | $19 | — |
| TioCaipira0xde52…8074 | Yes | 563 | 9.1¢ | $19 | — |
| Encuejta0xfcca…b6af | Yes | 556 | 15.1¢ | $19 | — |
| noise126trader0xafb1…0329 | No | 18 | 86.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x16c4…cd42 | Yes | 503 | 22.2¢ | $17 | — |
| burityps0xf1bc…f674 | Yes | 465 | 4.5¢ | $16 | — |
| Kaz30x371e…0df7 | Yes | 411 | 3.7¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x84ab…9672 | No | 12 | 81.0¢ | $12 | — |
| raphaelfla0x4aa9…cfc3 | Yes | 355 | 16.6¢ | $12 | — |
| Richard.santos30xce34…ce40 | Yes | 340 | 7.6¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xdd3c…a088 | Yes | 333 | 3.8¢ | $11 | — |
| Zephyrion0x042c…5b9a | No | 11 | 96.8¢ | $11 | — |
| AMSBarreira0x7aa2…7a3a | No | 11 | 89.0¢ | $11 | — |
| lucianoprado0x01d4…c194 | Yes | 304 | 18.0¢ | $10 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 297 | 4.6¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| JPRBotelho0x0e6f…1f19 | No | 10 | 86.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 94.7¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| A19100xf0df…9090 | No | 10 | 79.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x75d1…7a5f | Yes | 242 | 9.3¢ | $8 | Proven+$6.26 per $100 · 8,077 bets |
| mooca0x20c8…ce87 | Yes | 234 | 21.4¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x920b…c3d4 | No | 8 | 82.0¢ | $8 | — |
| mortalhagg0x32b2…3e1c | Yes | 226 | 9.2¢ | $8 | — |
| lumt990xa965…a389 | Yes | 213 | 3.4¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xac12…02dc | Yes | 199 | 23.2¢ | $7 | — |
| Cr1ms0nPhantom720x852f…bc74 | No | 7 | 93.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xe4fc…05a0 | No | 6 | 82.5¢ | $6 | — |
| Cirylo0x563c…3d5a | No | 6 | 83.0¢ | $6 | — |
| kamsk0x9617…510f | No | 6 | 84.0¢ | $6 | — |
| fernaovale0x67ae…7201 | No | 6 | 85.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x0bcd…db1c | No | 6 | 88.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd323…472f | No | 6 | 80.0¢ | $5 | — |
| brzcfh0x16d2…b413 | Yes | 162 | 11.4¢ | $5 | — |
| AeDOS0x3045…bf6e | Yes | 157 | 13.8¢ | $5 | — |
| pesk0xfaca…2aa3 | Yes | 137 | 18.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x784e…48e8 | Yes | 131 | 22.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xd03d…107e | Yes | 130 | 23.2¢ | $4 | — |
| gmrm0xecef…e3bd | Yes | 123 | 25.9¢ | $4 | — |
| rsbarros5120x25ca…9287 | Yes | 120 | 23.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x8f3a…ec8c | Yes | 117 | 17.0¢ | $4 | — |
| fgta000xe933…50d4 | Yes | 110 | 18.2¢ | $4 | — |
| raulmneto0xdff3…6f45 | Yes | 105 | 19.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Vcferraz0x3d61…35b1 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $3 | — |
| marciofichtner0x35c5…80ba | Yes | 100 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| mafamude0x7e58…8573 | Yes | 100 | 13.0¢ | $3 | — |
| reasoningTokens0xd0d9…9074 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $3 | New84 settled bets |
| jay26460xdff4…d1f9 | Yes | 100 | 6.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xdf5e…f491 | Yes | 97 | 19.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x62b2…bdbe | Yes | 93 | 27.0¢ | $3 | — |
| babuino0x844c…6651 | Yes | 93 | 21.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x093f…e446 | Yes | 84 | 14.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Mersinho0x00e6…d5c8 | Yes | 83 | 24.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Gspxz0x8b94…8cda | Yes | 83 | 4.8¢ | $3 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 63 | 13.2¢ | $2 | — |
| teupai0x7578…d0fc | Yes | 62 | 22.5¢ | $2 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 60 | 18.5¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| jgsommer0x7a01…633c | Yes | 59 | 21.0¢ | $2 | — |
| gbeconomista0x4699…8ceb | Yes | 58 | 20.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Bestellung0x118d…466d | Yes | 58 | 13.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Douglasfranca23090x5241…88c1 | Yes | 56 | 18.0¢ | $2 | — |
| diditagain0x9512…9078 | Yes | 55 | 43.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Chryssoranso0xa309…29fd | Yes | 23 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x07e7…06bd | Yes | 8 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.