Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | No | 27,556 | 90.6¢ | $26.9K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 21,338 | 90.0¢ | $20.8K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| keribit0xc9dc…9026 | No | 20,187 | 93.4¢ | $19.7K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 496 bets |
| trumpishonest0x29e4…4982 | No | 10,000 | 91.0¢ | $9.75K | — |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 7,962 | 96.8¢ | $7.77K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| 0x919d…60e1 | No | 5,216 | 91.3¢ | $5.09K | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 1,345 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.