Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | No | 27,556 | 90.6¢ | $26.9K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 21,338 | 90.0¢ | $20.8K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| keribit0xc9dc…9026 | No | 20,187 | 93.4¢ | $19.7K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 496 bets |
| trumpishonest0x29e4…4982 | No | 10,000 | 91.0¢ | $9.75K | — |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 7,962 | 96.8¢ | $7.77K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| 0x919d…60e1 | No | 5,216 | 91.3¢ | $5.09K | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 1,345 bets |
| gipsplug0x51f7…f874 | No | 5,000 | 90.0¢ | $4.88K | — |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 5,000 | 93.0¢ | $4.88K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | No | 5,000 | 91.0¢ | $4.88K | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 4,000 | 96.8¢ | $3.9K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,258 bets |
| AxiaSystem0x18cd…d8d2 | No | 3,605 | 95.0¢ | $3.52K | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 9,147 bets |
| SMB3BC0x3b66…a2f3 | No | 3,500 | 89.9¢ | $3.41K | — |
| backmm19820x8db3…0a15 | No | 3,200 | 89.0¢ | $3.12K | — |
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 2,799 | 91.0¢ | $2.73K | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| GTOrski10xb3af…84fc | No | 2,281 | 96.8¢ | $2.23K | New31 settled bets |
| Rotatoooor-1800xd442…616d | No | 2,078 | 93.0¢ | $2.03K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,029 | 95.0¢ | $1.98K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| mocolo0x1c65…f284 | No | 1,564 | 93.0¢ | $1.53K | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 1,555 | 91.0¢ | $1.52K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Gdub0x0b64…49bd | No | 1,487 | 90.8¢ | $1.45K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 1,466 bets |
| Tradman0x6ac7…aabb | No | 1,458 | 91.1¢ | $1.42K | New52 settled bets |
| delphy0xbb2e…5bbf | No | 1,334 | 96.0¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Erasmus.0xc658…b784 | No | 1,161 | 91.0¢ | $1.13K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 875 bets |
| zykl59590xc754…b24e | No | 1,133 | 91.4¢ | $1.11K | — |
| 9.6.90xe238…e5e5 | No | 1,050 | 93.0¢ | $1.02K | — |
| httpteapot0x5365…71fc | No | 1,000 | 91.0¢ | $976 | — |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | No | 1,000 | 96.3¢ | $975 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| SVOI0xbdf7…65d9 | No | 995 | 92.0¢ | $971 | — |
| 0x9204…5c05 | No | 866 | 94.9¢ | $845 | New84 settled bets |
| asasabuba0x88a3…e75f | No | 799 | 95.0¢ | $779 | — |
| trzorira20x6d71…82e5 | No | 792 | 96.0¢ | $773 | New98 settled bets |
| BamseOgKylling0xd9e7…4cde | No | 750 | 95.6¢ | $732 | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 195 bets |
| 202510210x3abf…b143 | No | 643 | 90.5¢ | $627 | — |
| Slowroasted0xc30c…6509 | No | 600 | 93.0¢ | $585 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 5,633 bets |
| MarlaSinger19990x9696…2bc3 | No | 600 | 90.3¢ | $585 | — |
| Rufr0xbb5d…fa33 | Yes | 23,350 | 10.7¢ | $572 | New6 settled bets |
| Go3ami2g0x0dbd…f4a5 | No | 540 | 89.0¢ | $527 | New25 settled bets |
| Rooster120x11a4…a825 | No | 500 | 91.0¢ | $488 | — |
| S550x7124…70c1 | No | 500 | 91.0¢ | $488 | Proven+$6.56 per $100 · 500 bets |
| BeN0x668d…97d2 | No | 500 | 91.0¢ | $488 | Proven+$2.61 per $100 · 2,217 bets |
| freemath0xc446…0bb4 | No | 440 | 94.0¢ | $429 | — |
| marketsbetts0x6623…92d9 | Yes | 16,520 | 11.7¢ | $405 | — |
| 0x0379…0fec | No | 403 | 89.3¢ | $393 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 337 | 94.7¢ | $329 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| TheGoldenShotg4nSK0x4d91…d886 | No | 335 | 89.7¢ | $326 | — |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | No | 324 | 93.4¢ | $316 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,596 bets |
| Art08880x161a…b515 | No | 309 | 97.0¢ | $302 | — |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 12,207 | 8.2¢ | $299 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| tilchi0x7f1d…45dc | No | 303 | 92.7¢ | $296 | — |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | No | 300 | 89.3¢ | $293 | — |
| holygagi0xcc25…8ecf | No | 278 | 90.0¢ | $271 | — |
| 0x0cf2…bd92 | Yes | 10,815 | 9.1¢ | $265 | — |
| Gaolang0x722e…51af | No | 230 | 90.0¢ | $224 | — |
| Lvdttl0x065f…6bd5 | No | 225 | 89.0¢ | $219 | — |
| 0xa301…02a3 | Yes | 5,767 | 9.0¢ | $141 | — |
| 0x38d9…a783 | Yes | 4,709 | 8.1¢ | $115 | — |
| 0x47eb…c8de | Yes | 3,870 | 10.0¢ | $95 | — |
| moon-k58-lad0xc800…4117 | Yes | 3,865 | 8.1¢ | $95 | — |
| yugopnik0x03ef…039b | Yes | 2,857 | 10.3¢ | $70 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 2,818 | 4.4¢ | $69 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| cmidujwd2930xb4a4…dc8f | Yes | 2,474 | 12.0¢ | $61 | — |
| greenlandcw0x452e…c113 | Yes | 2,279 | 10.0¢ | $56 | — |
| marlonvb0xcee5…a06e | Yes | 2,273 | 11.0¢ | $56 | — |
| cryptoposol0x36bd…8976 | Yes | 2,229 | 8.2¢ | $55 | — |
| Toussus0xad81…f57f | Yes | 2,222 | 9.0¢ | $54 | — |
| 0x330b…394b | Yes | 2,116 | 11.0¢ | $52 | — |
| Stronghold150xb2fa…4791 | Yes | 2,051 | 10.0¢ | $50 | — |
| gilligilli0x1a6d…f672 | Yes | 2,038 | 3.4¢ | $50 | — |
| seadogtropical0x12d3…53c1 | Yes | 2,000 | 10.0¢ | $49 | — |
| spacejam90000x4566…f265 | Yes | 1,845 | 7.0¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x5228…33c1 | Yes | 1,818 | 11.0¢ | $45 | — |
| 0xaa58…e8ab | Yes | 1,800 | 11.0¢ | $44 | — |
| samppu0x4c93…86ee | Yes | 1,459 | 8.0¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xe46c…9882 | Yes | 1,008 | 7.9¢ | $25 | — |
| derlykk0x1bc8…a46b | Yes | 1,000 | 10.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Animalmother0x346b…d70f | Yes | 1,000 | 10.0¢ | $25 | New20 settled bets |
| 0x7e13…2333 | Yes | 975 | 12.0¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x14af…c5d2 | Yes | 950 | 9.0¢ | $23 | — |
| PhilippGoetz0x2f8a…2495 | Yes | 944 | 9.0¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x9ae9…b39b | Yes | 909 | 11.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x2e28…c04d | Yes | 900 | 11.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x1fec…5af0 | Yes | 814 | 12.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x5602…6351 | Yes | 769 | 13.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x3e84…ad5f | Yes | 730 | 11.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Phenium0xe9f2…ddd0 | Yes | 700 | 3.1¢ | $17 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 0xc9ec…ee70 | Yes | 666 | 10.0¢ | $16 | — |
| tme0x6543…0c9b | Yes | 625 | 8.0¢ | $15 | — |
| BallaTheSenior0xe918…4604 | Yes | 624 | 8.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Asotos0x09d7…1b55 | Yes | 600 | 8.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x5bbd…8041 | Yes | 586 | 11.9¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x7744…23f2 | Yes | 557 | 11.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x7e91…4487 | Yes | 556 | 9.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x3915…d678 | Yes | 544 | 9.0¢ | $13 | — |
| RealGodHimself0x542a…8b27 | Yes | 543 | 10.7¢ | $13 | — |
| Jackedy0x4f03…4334 | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Mantingh0x5b01…a8ca | Yes | 500 | 8.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x5cf3…6ba6 | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Shinjuku0x9d74…09e8 | Yes | 500 | 8.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xd617…df67 | Yes | 482 | 8.7¢ | $12 | — |
| Lan-U0x4cbd…5007 | Yes | 482 | 6.0¢ | $12 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.