Market · 2 of 7 outcomes
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 7 outcomes add up to 101.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2026 midterms · 635 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 15 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | No | 12,000 | 78.1¢ | $8.58K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 24,999 | 25.8¢ | $7.12K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Do-Not-Redeem0xad89…f6e1 | Yes | 20,618 | 28.8¢ | $5.88K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 3,205 bets |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | Yes | 15,000 | 22.8¢ | $4.28K | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
| ClauseAI0x8aae…918c | Yes | 15,000 | 29.8¢ | $4.27K | New0 settled bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | No | 5,830 | 71.1¢ | $4.17K | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 6.85K shares each side · Show
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