Market · 5 of 7 outcomes
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 101 | 99.2¢ | $101 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | No | 50 | 99.7¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 20,331 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 9,833 | 3.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.58 per $100 · 639 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 6,755 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.53 per $100 · 87,683 bets |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | 6,400 | 3.4¢ | $3 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 5,790 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,393 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 5,051 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,632 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 4,663 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,261 bets |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | No | 2 | 98.5¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 11,334 bets |
| rotPanVaced0x9c5e…e9f4 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| anasheDispatch0x6fbe…1b01 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 3,661 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,328 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 3,089 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.14 per $100 · 20,709 bets |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 3,062 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 2,797 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.68 per $100 · 17,799 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 2,754 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$27.97 per $100 · 1,287 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,930 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1,731 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 58,120 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 1,370 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 1,088 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| vpor0xe846…317f | Yes | 965 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 827 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| asmile0xe8a0…4e39 | Yes | 805 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 719 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 704 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.93 per $100 · 5,761 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 673 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,122 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 648 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,297 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 600 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 556 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 9,382 bets |
| 0x6d43…d0dd | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Steveohm0xf230…bbfb | Yes | 500 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 400 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 395 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 394 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,862+ bets · updating |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 364 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.02 per $100 · 7,995 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 352 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 333 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 330 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 320 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 229 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 211 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 200 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 175 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 171 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,346 bets |
| 0x6f0b…391d | Yes | 160 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 156 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 150 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.84 per $100 · 22,091 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| letmecookibegyou0xd6be…00c5 | Yes | 147 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 138 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 125 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 50,803 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 759 events · $33.5M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.