Market · 1 of 7 outcomes
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 717 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
17 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 94,640 | 77.0¢ | $68.6K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| 0xf30f…fa3e | No | 155,691 | 24.0¢ | $42.8K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 50,000 |
| 72.0¢ |
| $36.2K |
| Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 296 bets |
| PolBandit0x15fd…cc95 | Yes | 22,873 | 75.7¢ | $16.6K | New86 settled bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 20,000 | 73.0¢ | $14.5K | New6 settled bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 41,490 | 22.4¢ | $11.4K | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 528 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | Yes | 15,000 | 74.8¢ | $10.9K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 10,000 | 79.9¢ | $7.25K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 2,138 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | No | 26,200 | 26.0¢ | $7.21K | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,073 bets |
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | Yes | 9,340 | 75.8¢ | $6.77K | New84 settled bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 8,761 | 51.2¢ | $6.35K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | Yes | 8,000 | 80.0¢ | $5.8K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| JoeWillens570xd8fa…198e | Yes | 7,650 | 75.5¢ | $5.55K | — |
| BuddhaYTorrance0x9e87…caa2 | Yes | 6,700 | 75.8¢ | $4.86K | New88 settled bets |
| Yirmeyahu0x55f3…cada | Yes | 6,593 | 75.7¢ | $4.78K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 157 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | Yes | 6,500 | 77.5¢ | $4.71K | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 16,275 | 27.8¢ | $4.48K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | Yes | 6,000 | 78.2¢ | $4.35K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| HerlihyM920x1970…398d | Yes | 5,799 | 66.4¢ | $4.2K | Proven+$8.37 per $100 · 538 bets |
| Scalpoor0x8b36…a393 | No | 15,133 | 20.6¢ | $4.16K | New50 settled bets |
| FDTpuissance0x17c6…8aca | Yes | 5,400 | 75.8¢ | $3.92K | New59 settled bets |
| 0x9eb4…89b0 | Yes | 5,400 | 78.0¢ | $3.92K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 147 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,000 | 72.0¢ | $3.63K | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| RockyZet0x368b…2458 | Yes | 5,000 | 73.0¢ | $3.63K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 506 bets |
| AllByMyseIf0x5188…c804 | Yes | 5,000 | 78.0¢ | $3.62K | Proven+$4.57 per $100 · 1,559 bets |
| mrworldwide0x98d0…f14a | Yes | 4,782 | 72.4¢ | $3.47K | Proven+$8.95 per $100 · 1,842 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 12,457 | 37.8¢ | $3.43K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| alfabetica0x116a…6226 | Yes | 4,580 | 72.5¢ | $3.32K | New0 settled bets |
| scottorhino0x7965…09d9 | Yes | 4,100 | 75.8¢ | $2.97K | New42 settled bets |
| bnbaltz0x8181…a32c | Yes | 4,054 | 74.8¢ | $2.94K | New2 settled bets |
| Flipbandit0x7ce8…7772 | Yes | 4,000 | 75.8¢ | $2.9K | New52 settled bets |
| HilelTheElder0x7d23…c660 | Yes | 4,000 | 75.8¢ | $2.9K | New48 settled bets |
| danypotter0x9ac5…917b | Yes | 4,000 | 75.8¢ | $2.9K | New52 settled bets |
| 0xe4a2…4763 | Yes | 3,975 | 74.2¢ | $2.88K | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 3,941 | 78.5¢ | $2.86K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| ClaudeIntern0x95b3…1df1 | Yes | 3,802 | 77.6¢ | $2.76K | Losing−$13.46 per $100 · 104 bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 3,205 | 76.4¢ | $2.32K | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,456 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | No | 8,000 | 28.8¢ | $2.2K | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 3,000 | 72.8¢ | $2.17K | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| DonationsReceiver0x8476…5418 | Yes | 2,999 | 76.7¢ | $2.17K | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 485 bets |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | No | 7,628 | 22.8¢ | $2.1K | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | Yes | 2,785 | 72.2¢ | $2.02K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| jtradegbr0x2bc7…e411 | Yes | 2,601 | 77.5¢ | $1.89K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 2,136 bets |
| Sayl7Seas0x77a6…3606 | No | 6,675 | 47.7¢ | $1.84K | New20 settled bets |
| Navarros0x9fa1…948a | Yes | 2,211 | 57.2¢ | $1.6K | — |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | Yes | 2,200 | 77.3¢ | $1.59K | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 2,080 | 73.8¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| MMH50x551d…4afe | No | 5,400 | 27.8¢ | $1.48K | New15 settled bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 2,009 | 49.6¢ | $1.46K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | Yes | 2,000 | 73.0¢ | $1.45K | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 137 bets |
| 0x919d…60e1 | Yes | 2,000 | 77.0¢ | $1.45K | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 1,345 bets |
| FastPaws0x0548…d852 | Yes | 1,935 | 76.9¢ | $1.4K | New39 settled bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | No | 5,101 | 28.8¢ | $1.4K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,660 bets |
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b | No | 5,000 | 25.1¢ | $1.38K | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 525 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 1,862 | 73.8¢ | $1.35K | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | Yes | 1,837 | 51.8¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$9.45 per $100 · 749 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 1,835 | 78.3¢ | $1.33K | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | Yes | 1,700 | 75.1¢ | $1.23K | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 1,537 | 76.6¢ | $1.11K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| yoyoyo5430xbbd2…9b1a | Yes | 1,510 | 65.0¢ | $1.09K | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 3,881 | 28.8¢ | $1.07K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 3,094 | 23.7¢ | $851 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| ForTheWin19840x9cd5…9f12 | No | 3,085 | 33.8¢ | $848 | New12 settled bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 2,906 | 20.1¢ | $799 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 2,100 | 25.0¢ | $577 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 2,054 | 22.7¢ | $565 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| Oneko0xb6ac…6b83 | No | 1,824 | 21.0¢ | $502 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 810 bets |
| madmartigan50xdd15…4a07 | No | 1,824 | 35.9¢ | $502 | Positive+$14.42 per $100 · 209 bets |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | No | 1,600 | 21.7¢ | $440 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | No | 1,400 | 34.5¢ | $385 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| 0xe4c1…f022 | No | 1,397 | 36.7¢ | $384 | — |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | No | 1,380 | 22.7¢ | $380 | — |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | No | 1,299 | 50.0¢ | $357 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 1,250 | 27.0¢ | $344 | Losing−$5.66 per $100 · 1,489 bets |
| 10G0x4c86…1ed3 | No | 1,100 | 66.7¢ | $303 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 275 bets |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | 1,030 | 20.6¢ | $283 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 1,029 | 36.9¢ | $283 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,307 bets |
| Seluj0x7f20…086a | No | 1,021 | 26.5¢ | $281 | Proven+$15.61 per $100 · 267 bets |
| PMMMR0xb47e…c602 | No | 1,000 | 39.9¢ | $275 | — |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 1,000 | 32.2¢ | $275 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | No | 1,000 | 28.8¢ | $275 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| yukonboi0x250e…e864 | No | 930 | 57.3¢ | $256 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 568 bets |
| Iamketoman0x3f1e…e41e | No | 893 | 28.8¢ | $246 | New47 settled bets |
| PROPHET.NOTES0xcb11…0d5e | No | 800 | 27.0¢ | $220 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 543 bets |
| Snoopyfan0x6291…cc47 | No | 800 | 41.5¢ | $220 | Proven+$3.43 per $100 · 2,013 bets |
| Syaz0xf6b2…b660 | No | 735 | 34.9¢ | $202 | — |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | No | 686 | 41.6¢ | $189 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 511 | 30.8¢ | $140 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| 0x7272…a67d | No | 500 | 27.8¢ | $137 | New73 settled bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 476 | 26.9¢ | $131 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 6,265 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | No | 432 | 36.4¢ | $119 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| coshi0x3e71…f97b | No | 400 | 27.0¢ | $110 | New86 settled bets |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | No | 370 | 27.3¢ | $102 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| 0xba38…f74d | No | 319 | 26.8¢ | $88 | Positive+$9.17 per $100 · 908 bets |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | No | 300 | 28.2¢ | $83 | — |
| choclopolis0xd449…450f | No | 260 | 28.8¢ | $72 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | No | 240 | 42.2¢ | $66 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 6.23K shares each side · Show
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