Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 609 events · $32M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 18 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 197,902 | 44.5¢ | $76.2K | New74 settled bets |
| 0xac90…29b2 | No | 41,816 | 59.0¢ | $25.7K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 42,238 |
| 43.7¢ |
| $16.3K |
| Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | No | 26,398 | 61.0¢ | $16.2K | Losing−$2.81 per $100 · 31,789 bets |
| studentgameer0xbd00…4fc0 | No | 26,275 | 53.0¢ | $16.2K | Break-even−$0.19 per $100 · 382 bets |
| SIMO-HAYHA0xb32b…4a7a | No | 20,175 | 54.0¢ | $12.4K | New6 settled bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 110 shares each side · Show
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