Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 18 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 197,902 | 44.5¢ | $76.2K | New74 settled bets |
| 0xac90…29b2 | No | 41,816 | 59.0¢ | $25.7K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 42,238 |
| 43.7¢ |
| $16.3K |
| Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | No | 26,398 | 61.0¢ | $16.2K | Losing−$2.83 per $100 · 32,210 bets |
| studentgameer0xbd00…4fc0 | No | 26,275 | 53.0¢ | $16.2K | Break-even−$0.19 per $100 · 382 bets |
| SIMO-HAYHA0xb32b…4a7a | No | 20,175 | 54.0¢ | $12.4K | New6 settled bets |
| Railcool0x94c4…43ca | No | 20,000 | 56.0¢ | $12.3K | Proven+$13.67 per $100 · 222 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 16,662 | 60.6¢ | $10.2K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | No | 11,061 | 59.9¢ | $6.8K | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| Nowhere-Man0x4558…a2b3 | No | 8,896 | 62.9¢ | $5.47K | Proven+$2.14 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | No | 8,836 | 56.0¢ | $5.43K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 7,591 | 47.2¢ | $4.67K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| supersmard0xe3f2…e1c1 | No | 7,278 | 58.1¢ | $4.48K | Proven+$18.23 per $100 · 164 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | No | 5,938 | 59.0¢ | $3.65K | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| carkiller5300xef2f…8b9c | Yes | 9,295 | 60.3¢ | $3.58K | New20 settled bets |
| Bet1nthedark0x8b88…5f5e | No | 5,100 | 60.0¢ | $3.14K | Losing−$1.48 per $100 · 263 bets |
| scrapbook0x414b…0d3f | No | 5,000 | 59.2¢ | $3.07K | — |
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 6,730 | 51.4¢ | $2.59K | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 742 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | No | 4,000 | 57.1¢ | $2.46K | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| ClauseAI0x8aae…918c | Yes | 5,452 | 43.0¢ | $2.1K | New0 settled bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 3,346 | 60.0¢ | $2.06K | Losing−$7.15 per $100 · 15,882 bets |
| 0xcbab…9a8a | No | 3,333 | 52.0¢ | $2.05K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 573 bets |
| Bperil0xc624…ee24 | No | 3,072 | 57.9¢ | $1.89K | Proven+$3.56 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| pompey0xbbae…13f8 | Yes | 4,311 | 46.0¢ | $1.66K | — |
| DonkDaWarrior0xa492…d2fd | Yes | 4,000 | 39.3¢ | $1.54K | — |
| Sayl7Seas0x77a6…3606 | Yes | 4,000 | 44.4¢ | $1.54K | New19 settled bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | Yes | 3,624 | 46.1¢ | $1.4K | New3 settled bets |
| cryptoh01der70x1b90…c4f8 | No | 2,053 | 55.7¢ | $1.26K | Proven+$18.65 per $100 · 377 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 2,000 | 55.0¢ | $1.23K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| dsoperative0x4be5…c1b3 | No | 2,000 | 54.0¢ | $1.23K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 451 bets |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | No | 1,818 | 56.0¢ | $1.12K | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 2,683 | 41.0¢ | $1.03K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 1,650 | 51.5¢ | $1.01K | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 1,616 | 52.8¢ | $994 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| randomWalkingShrimp0x30d1…4525 | No | 1,542 | 55.4¢ | $949 | Proven+$8.22 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | Yes | 2,416 | 41.0¢ | $930 | Proven+$9.46 per $100 · 748 bets |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | Yes | 2,370 | 41.8¢ | $913 | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | No | 1,400 | 57.5¢ | $861 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 2,054 | 45.9¢ | $791 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| 0x91c3…409f | No | 1,214 | 60.0¢ | $747 | New0 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1,781 | 40.0¢ | $686 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,851 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 1,100 | 59.3¢ | $677 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| Catfly0xd8dc…0222 | No | 1,017 | 60.0¢ | $625 | New8 settled bets |
| tomyyouth0x40a6…3c1f | No | 1,000 | 61.0¢ | $615 | — |
| nchgbhy0x57b0…76f4 | No | 1,000 | 58.0¢ | $615 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | No | 1,000 | 60.0¢ | $615 | Proven+$13.35 per $100 · 374 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 1,000 | 55.0¢ | $615 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0 | No | 1,000 | 60.0¢ | $615 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 1,517 bets |
| Snoopyfan0x6291…cc47 | Yes | 1,500 | 46.0¢ | $577 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,491 | 57.8¢ | $574 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 65,033 bets |
| MispricedPaladin0xde88…144c | No | 853 | 57.8¢ | $524 | — |
| Voland67770xc23e…6499 | No | 850 | 60.0¢ | $523 | New18 settled bets |
| dzsibenaja0x59a5…afc8 | No | 827 | 57.0¢ | $509 | Proven+$2.40 per $100 · 217 bets |
| HowBoutThemCowboys0xe091…9549 | Yes | 1,282 | 40.0¢ | $494 | New30 settled bets |
| Oneko0xb6ac…6b83 | Yes | 1,163 | 44.0¢ | $448 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 810 bets |
| BeniSpreads0x3f0b…5720 | No | 700 | 62.9¢ | $431 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 1,000 | 40.5¢ | $385 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| 0xb799…06a1 | Yes | 1,000 | 41.0¢ | $385 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 800 | 45.1¢ | $308 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | No | 500 | 51.8¢ | $308 | — |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | No | 489 | 50.4¢ | $301 | — |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 463 | 54.0¢ | $285 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| twinna0xa43d…00f4 | No | 402 | 51.0¢ | $247 | Proven+$12.80 per $100 · 245 bets |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 600 | 40.0¢ | $231 | Break-even−$0.54 per $100 · 3,695 bets |
| 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | 567 | 41.0¢ | $218 | New29 settled bets |
| rocky420190x8f13…daae | No | 342 | 58.0¢ | $210 | — |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | No | 340 | 49.5¢ | $209 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 333 | 60.0¢ | $205 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| bananaleaf0x3ec9…9ee3 | Yes | 500 | 40.0¢ | $193 | — |
| slporc20xdf52…b944 | Yes | 483 | 52.8¢ | $186 | — |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | No | 300 | 52.7¢ | $185 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,596 bets |
| KeithStarmer0x7ae8…5a42 | No | 300 | 59.7¢ | $184 | — |
| snols0x7664…2e50 | No | 289 | 54.0¢ | $178 | — |
| GreatAgain280x681d…4cbf | No | 279 | 56.3¢ | $171 | — |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 439 | 51.0¢ | $169 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 431 | 41.3¢ | $166 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 425 | 44.1¢ | $164 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| FranDeOrellana0x1e71…39ce | Yes | 422 | 43.6¢ | $162 | — |
| Cohven0x3dab…e5d0 | No | 221 | 59.2¢ | $136 | — |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | 306 | 42.1¢ | $118 | — |
| onlywayupisdown0x88ff…0011 | Yes | 256 | 40.0¢ | $99 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 254 | 39.0¢ | $98 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| choclopolis0xd449…450f | Yes | 250 | 40.0¢ | $96 | — |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 240 | 40.0¢ | $92 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| GekkeHenkie230x5c3a…d4f4 | Yes | 238 | 43.0¢ | $92 | — |
| James1230x7daa…5928 | Yes | 205 | 40.0¢ | $79 | — |
| MicAllElle0x65e4…2420 | Yes | 200 | 49.0¢ | $77 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 188 | 61.0¢ | $73 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| kimjongun1230x833a…dd63 | Yes | 156 | 45.1¢ | $60 | — |
| Clesta0x92c4…8767 | Yes | 151 | 47.4¢ | $58 | — |
| 586475250xf3b6…6b22 | Yes | 150 | 51.0¢ | $58 | — |
| JimboFisher10xc0ce…e3aa | Yes | 120 | 66.0¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x3be2…e7a0 | Yes | 117 | 64.0¢ | $45 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 103 | 43.0¢ | $40 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | Yes | 100 | 40.0¢ | $39 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 100 | 39.0¢ | $38 | — |
| ACPOH0x47a5…43d3 | Yes | 91 | 44.9¢ | $35 | — |
| wokeyi0xb8a7…f655 | Yes | 80 | 40.0¢ | $31 | — |
| Razirback0x92c7…c136 | Yes | 48 | 51.2¢ | $18 | Losing−$1.17 per $100 · 4,966 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 110 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play