Market · 21 of 23 outcomes
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 124,385 | 0.1¢ | $62 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 50,534 | 0.3¢ | $25 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| chive0xd7fd…886a | Yes | 37,699 | 0.2¢ | $19 | — |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 29,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| YouKnowNothingJonSnow0x73f7…b51d | Yes | 24,489 | 2.1¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 24,284 | 0.5¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 646 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
11 more outcomes in this event.
These 23 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.